#Opinion by Poon Siu-to 潘小濤|“Not only will a population in decline strain the supply of labor force, but also endanger domestic demand, and even put property prices in a nosedive.”
Read more: https://bit.ly/2QLYar9
“人口減少,除了令勞動力供應緊張,更會危及內需,甚至會令樓價暴瀉。疫情之下,外國對中國貨物需求大減,外貿疲弱之下,工廠定單大減,令中國失去主要的經濟增長動力。”
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同時也有2部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過38萬的網紅クリスの部屋,也在其Youtube影片中提到,皆さん、こんにちは! クリスです。 Follow Your Heart! 本当に「大好き」で「心からやりたいこと」を仕事にできる時代です。みなさん自由に幸せに、格好良く生きていってください。自分の心を信じて、ワクワクすることを日常に取り入れていくことで人生は少しずつ変わっていきます。 楽しいと感...
「china population decline」的推薦目錄:
- 關於china population decline 在 Apple Daily - English Edition Facebook 的最佳解答
- 關於china population decline 在 A Nan MOSTA 阿男醫師の磨思塔 Facebook 的最讚貼文
- 關於china population decline 在 陳建仁 Chen Chien-Jen Facebook 的最佳解答
- 關於china population decline 在 クリスの部屋 Youtube 的精選貼文
- 關於china population decline 在 Kento Bento Youtube 的最佳解答
- 關於china population decline 在 Demographic Collapse — China's Reckoning (Part 1) - YouTube 的評價
china population decline 在 A Nan MOSTA 阿男醫師の磨思塔 Facebook 的最讚貼文
因為有不少朋友建議我,將日前臉書上“武漢肺炎發生率與致死率的國際比較”一文翻譯成英文,所以,就以英文版再次和大家分享,也謝謝大家的批評指教。
International Comparison of Incidence and Mortality Rates of COVID-19
In the statistics of the COVID-19 collected and published by the World Health Organization (WHO), only the numbers of confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 of affected countries are available, without taking the population of each country into consideration. It will result in a biased assessment of the COVID-19 risk for each country.
Better data for international comparison is incidence rates, which refer to the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases (numerator) divided by the number of the population (denominator) of a given country. As shown in Table 1. the incidence rate per 100,000 population was highest in Italy, Korean, Iran, and China (>5.0 per 100,000) and much lower in Japan, US and Taiwan (<0.5 per 100,000).
The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in each country is not only related to its population but also dependent on the coverage rate of the COVID-19 virus test. The confirmed case number and incidence rate are relatively low for those countries where only the severe cases were tested for COVID-19 virus; and they are much higher for countries where severe, moderate and mild cases were tested for the virus.
Once a country changes its policy of virus testing, for example of testing only those who are seriously ill, the number of the confirmed cases and incidence rate will drop sharply in a short period of time, but its case fatality rate will rise accordingly.
The case fatality rate is the proportion (percentage) of confirmed COVID-19 cases who died from the disease. Its numerator is the number of confirmed cases who died from the disease, and its denominator is the total number of confirmed cases. It is for sure that the case fatality rate will be higher if the analysis is limited to severe cases, and it will drop dramatically if the analysis also includes moderate and mild cases.
As shown in Table 2, the case fatality rates are the same for severe (5%), moderate (0.5%) and mild (0.1%) COVID-19 confirmed cases in countries A, B, and C are the same, but
the overall case fatality rates per 1,000 confirmed cases are significantly different among the country A, where only test the severe cases (41 per 1,000), country B where both severe and moderate cases are tested (14 per 1,000), and country C where test all severe, moderate and mild cases (8 per 1,000).
Among the countries with more than 1,000 confirmed cases in Table 1, the overall case-fatality rates in Italy, China and Iran were all exceeded 3.5%. Obviously, the severe cases account for a relatively large proportion of confirmed cases. The overall case-fatality rate for South Korea and Germany was only 0.8% and 0.1%, respectively, where the moderate and mild cases account for a relatively large proportion.
When we see a rapid decline in the number of confirmed cases with a soared case fatality rate, we must first pay attention to the change in the country's virus testing strategy. The Director-General of WHO recently stated that all countries should be cautious for the case fatality rate of COVID-19 is rising! The conclusion that the Director-General was biasedly made without taking the change in the virus testing strategy into consideration. He made the matter worse by causing unnecessary panic!
In addition to the virus-detection strategy, some other factors such as age, chronic disease status, and quality of medical care also affect the case fatality rate. For examples, the fatality rate will be low if the patients in the hospital for isolation treatment are mostly young people, without chronic disease, and receiving good cares. If most patients are old, with chronic disease, and receiving inadequate cares due to limited hospital resources and manpower, the case fatality rate will become high.
china population decline 在 陳建仁 Chen Chien-Jen Facebook 的最佳解答
因為有不少朋友建議我,將日前臉書上“武漢肺炎發生率與致死率的國際比較”一文翻譯成英文,所以,就以英文版再次和大家分享,也謝謝大家的批評指教。
International Comparison of Incidence and Mortality Rates of COVID-19
In the statistics of the COVID-19 collected and published by the World Health Organization (WHO), only the numbers of confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 of affected countries are available, without taking the population of each country into consideration. It will result in a biased assessment of the COVID-19 risk for each country.
Better data for international comparison is incidence rates, which refer to the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases (numerator) divided by the number of the population (denominator) of a given country. As shown in Table 1. the incidence rate per 100,000 population was highest in Italy, Korean, Iran, and China (>5.0 per 100,000) and much lower in Japan, US and Taiwan (<0.5 per 100,000).
The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in each country is not only related to its population but also dependent on the coverage rate of the COVID-19 virus test. The confirmed case number and incidence rate are relatively low for those countries where only the severe cases were tested for COVID-19 virus; and they are much higher for countries where severe, moderate and mild cases were tested for the virus.
Once a country changes its policy of virus testing, for example of testing only those who are seriously ill, the number of the confirmed cases and incidence rate will drop sharply in a short period of time, but its case fatality rate will rise accordingly.
The case fatality rate is the proportion (percentage) of confirmed COVID-19 cases who died from the disease. Its numerator is the number of confirmed cases who died from the disease, and its denominator is the total number of confirmed cases. It is for sure that the case fatality rate will be higher if the analysis is limited to severe cases, and it will drop dramatically if the analysis also includes moderate and mild cases.
As shown in Table 2, the case fatality rates are the same for severe (5%), moderate (0.5%) and mild (0.1%) COVID-19 confirmed cases in countries A, B, and C are the same, but
the overall case fatality rates per 1,000 confirmed cases are significantly different among the country A, where only test the severe cases (41 per 1,000), country B where both severe and moderate cases are tested (14 per 1,000), and country C where test all severe, moderate and mild cases (8 per 1,000).
Among the countries with more than 1,000 confirmed cases in Table 1, the overall case-fatality rates in Italy, China and Iran were all exceeded 3.5%. Obviously, the severe cases account for a relatively large proportion of confirmed cases. The overall case-fatality rate for South Korea and Germany was only 0.8% and 0.1%, respectively, where the moderate and mild cases account for a relatively large proportion.
When we see a rapid decline in the number of confirmed cases with a soared case fatality rate, we must first pay attention to the change in the country's virus testing strategy. The Director-General of WHO recently stated that all countries should be cautious for the case fatality rate of COVID-19 is rising! The conclusion that the Director-General was biasedly made without taking the change in the virus testing strategy into consideration. He made the matter worse by causing unnecessary panic!
In addition to the virus-detection strategy, some other factors such as age, chronic disease status, and quality of medical care also affect the case fatality rate. For examples, the fatality rate will be low if the patients in the hospital for isolation treatment are mostly young people, without chronic disease, and receiving good cares. If most patients are old, with chronic disease, and receiving inadequate cares due to limited hospital resources and manpower, the case fatality rate will become high.
china population decline 在 クリスの部屋 Youtube 的精選貼文
皆さん、こんにちは! クリスです。
Follow Your Heart! 本当に「大好き」で「心からやりたいこと」を仕事にできる時代です。みなさん自由に幸せに、格好良く生きていってください。自分の心を信じて、ワクワクすることを日常に取り入れていくことで人生は少しずつ変わっていきます。
楽しいと感じることを、もう一度夢を持って、自分がどれくらい大切な存在なのかを忘れないでくださいね。
★7日間無料キャンペーン中:「人生を良くする知識」を毎月新しく学べるマンスリー・メンバーシップ FLIGHT PROGRAM:https://www.chrismonsen.com/flight-program
★「大好き」を「仕事」にするための6週間オンラインコース THE VISION PROGRAM:https://www.chrismonsen.com/vision-program
★クリスの新刊が2020年11月24日に発売になりました!「生き方は、選べる。」絶賛発売中です🤠Amazonのリンクはこちら:https://www.amazon.jp/dp/4866801085/
★Instagramもよかったらフォローしてね!
https://instagram.com/christian_monsen/
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★紹介書籍
FACTFULNESS 10の思い込みを乗り越え、データを基に世界を正しく見る習慣
https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4822289605
12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos (英語)
https://www.amazon.co.jp/12-Rules-Life-Antidote-Chaos/dp/0345816021
★参考データ
0:00 FACTFULNESS 10の思い込みを乗り越え、データを基に世界を正しく見る習慣
https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4822289605
2:57 アフリカの平均寿命が過去30年で大きく変わり2015年の平均寿命は60歳になった
https://is.gd/7P1rvz
3:19 アフリカの乳幼児死亡率は1952年のヨーロッパと同じ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQiHxrY5uEw
3:31 世界的に低体重の人よりも肥満の人が多くなっている
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-35933691
https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/obesity-and-overweight
4:30 国連の「2030アジェンダ」
https://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/000101402.pdf
4:55 目標1:貧困をなくそう
https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/poverty/
5:53 極度の貧困が2000年-2012年の間に50%減少している
https://www.worldbank.org/ja/news/feature/2014/01/08/open-data-poverty
7:03 中流階級の人と上流階級の人の割合は極度の貧困より増え続けている
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/future-development/2018/09/27/a-global-tipping-point-half-the-world-is-now-middle-class-or-wealthier/
9:05 GDPが年間約5000ドルになると、人々は環境問題に関心を持ち始める
https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/article/jordan-peterson-interview-2018
10:23 世界で急速に経済が成長している国
https://www.focus-economics.com/blog/fastest-growing-economies-in-the-world
11:20 世界は2045年までに結核を根絶することができると述べた
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2019-03-tuberculosis-eradicated-experts.html#:~:text=The%20world%20can%20eradicate%20tuberculosis,team%20of%20experts%20said%20Wednesday.
12:13 中国の人口は2031年にピークに達し、インドの人口は2059年まで増加し、17億人に達すると予想されている
https://www.dw.com/en/global-population-decline-will-hit-china-hard/a-50326522#:~:text=China's%20population%20is%20expected%20to,it%20will%20reach%201.7%20billion.
12:42 中国のエンジニアの学校を卒業する人がアメリカの全てのエンジニアより多い
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2017/04/higher-education-in-china-has-boomed-in-the-last-decade
13:44 4分の1の医療施設が基本的な水道サービスを欠いている
https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/water-and-sanitation/
china population decline 在 Kento Bento Youtube 的最佳解答
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Channel Description:
We do videos on intriguing & thought-provoking Asiany topics, including stereotypes, history, culture & geography.
Credits:
Researcher/Writer/Narrator/Video Editor: Kento Bento
Motion Graphics: Charlie Rodriguez
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————————————————————————————————————————
[THESE EVENTS WILL HAPPEN IN ASIA BEFORE 2050]
So far on this channel, we’ve only ever talked about current or past events.
Well not anymore, because this video is about the future. We’ll be covering the major events that will happen in Asia leading up to the year 2050. Of course, predicting such events is extremely difficult, but we can always give our best estimates based the information we currently have.
We will cover the following:
- Pyeongchang Winter Olympics 2018
- JAXA's Mercury mission
- Japanese Emperor Akihito's abdication
- Saudi Arabia's Jeddah Tower (tallest building in the world)
- Transcontinental bridge from Middle East to Africa (Yemen to Djibouti / Saudi Arabia to Egypt) - the Bridge of Horns
- Holographic TVs
- Tokyo Summer Olympics 2020
- UAE's Hope Probe to Mars + First city on Mars
- Beijing Winter Olympics 2022
- Rising sea levels affect Maldives (global warming)
- China's large particle accelerator (twice the circumference of the Large Hadron Collider at CERN)
- Southeast Asia unified by transport links (Sunda Strait Bridge & Malacca Strait Bridge)
- Bangkok, Thailand is sinking
- Borneo's rainforests will be wiped out at current rate of deforestation
- Russia will become a global food superpower (melting permafrost and retreating ice caps opening up North Asia & Siberia for arable land (farming & crop production)
- Japan connected to the mainland & Russia with Sakhalin-Hokkaido Tunnel
- China's first astronauts on the moon
- India's economic rise
- Japan connected to mainland & South Korea with Japan-Korea Tunnel
- Major volcanic eruption of Sakurajima
- Decline in homosexual discrimination particularly Middle East
- 100th anniversary of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima & Nagasaki
- Japan's population drops below 100 million due to low birth rate
- Pakistan and India celebrate 100th anniversary of independence
- One Country Two Systems agreement for Hong Kong & Macau expires
- North Korea celebrates 100th anniversary of founding
- Dead Sea drying up
- Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Disaster will be successfully decommissioned
- Biggest refugee crisis in history in Southeast Asia
- Robots will be commonplace
- Asia connected to the world via Bering Strait Bridge & Transglobal Highway
china population decline 在 Demographic Collapse — China's Reckoning (Part 1) - YouTube 的必吃
... <看更多>