兩岸 幽暗納許 vs.優美柏拉圖
陳孝平/亞洲大學社工系特聘教授(台中市) #兩岸
對於賽局理論稍有了解的人,都知道所謂「納許均衡(Nash equilibrium)」,其最廣為人知的例子就是「囚犯的困境(prisoners dilemma)」或稱「囚犯的陷阱(prisoners pit)」:兩個爾詐我虞的共謀犯罪者,在檢察官隔離偵訊,因此無法勾串證詞時,都會承認自己犯罪,因此受到重判,「兩人因為沒有信任因此彼此陷於困境」,在沒有互信之下,任何一方因為擔心被出賣,都不能採取對自己有利的策略,否則其下場更慘。
所以「納許均衡」確實傳神地勾勒出民進黨自行賣力創造出來的兩岸困境。作為一個「實然」的模型,「納許均衡」確實符合兩岸現況。然而,「納許均衡」既是以「囚犯的困境」為其代表作,所以反映的是民進黨人的「幽暗心靈」:認定與對方只能爾詐爾虞,沒有合作的可能,雖然很想逃脫這樣的困境,卻如同黏在捕蠅紙上面的蒼蠅,越掙扎只能陷得越深。
而「柏拉圖的最適境界(Pareto optimality)」則是從「極盡所能創造雙贏」作為其雙方博弈的基本心態:現況如果不理想,彼此就要思索如何在不傷害對方的情況之下來增進自己的福祉。因此反映的是「優美心靈」。
筆者曾論述:兩岸從充滿血腥味的「血洗台灣」 vs.「反攻大陸」,進步到沒有硝煙味的「一國兩制統一中國」vs.「三民主義統一中國」,再進步到彼此都能容身且具有未來和平終局可能的「九二共識」,可以說是在現存的兩岸實力對比與國際框架制約之下,兩岸所能達成的「柏拉圖的最適境界」。維護九二共識,就是兩岸因充分替對方設想而出現的一個「均衡」。
「納許均衡」是一個彼此給對方穿小鞋子因此不得不忍受的一個「煉獄(Inferno)」,而柏拉圖的最適境界則是雙方極盡善意之下出現的「祝福點(bless point)」,彼此對待的心態完全不同、看到的願景也完全不同。
不過,「納許均衡」的隱喻也有一個優點,就是:解套的方法就存在於主其事者的一念之間,只要把「爾詐爾虞」改為「推心置腹」,就馬上可以脫離囚犯的困境、走入光明;而柏拉圖的最適狀態,如果要改進,則必須等國際大勢的改變因此獲得可以進一步進行「柏拉圖改善」的空間,比較不是操之在兩岸。
新任陸委會主委既然有真知灼見提出這個納許均衡的比喻,則就應該擺脫「幽暗心靈」,與對方共謀提升善意,如果「兩岸一家親」做到「心靈契合」,則納許均衡就可以立即打破,走出囚犯的困境,移向「柏拉圖的最適境界」,則兩岸人民幸甚,尤其是處於博弈下風的台灣人幸甚。
同時也有10000部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過2,910的網紅コバにゃんチャンネル,也在其Youtube影片中提到,...
prisoners dilemma 在 謙預 Qianyu.sg Facebook 的最佳解答
【賭上靈魂的女人】
青竹蛇兒口,黃蜂尾上針,兩者皆不毒,最毒婦人心。
I have a Bazi client, who has been a social escort for over a decade.
She didn't tell me the truth at the start. In fact, she "challenged" me to use my 6th sense and offered her Bazi.
I do not need your Bazi to read you inside out. Also, Bazi analysis is a highly methodological and scientific method to understand a person's past, present and future Destiny. I'm no medium. There is no 6th sense needed.
Over the many short messages before our meeting, she expressed her shock that I could read so much from merely her words.
I didn't have her birth details at that time, nor had I seen a single photo of hers.
With the internet era, a competent Metaphysics practitioner must have the ability to dissect a person's true character and intention, even from a simple "Hi".
Impossible? Too judgmental? You just haven't met a seasoned human scanner in real life. Or you don't know the true you well enough to see the rock hard truth in our words.
While messaging me questions about a (legitimate) business of hers, I replied with a verse written by my Grandmaster, Living Buddha Lian Sheng:
"君子愛財,取之有道。
不義之財雖到手,
無限後患跟著來。"
(While wealth is covetable, a gentleman makes his wealth through just and ethical means.
Ill gotten wealth, though in your hands, will elicit endless troubles pouring your way.)
She was astounded and asked, "Do you actually know what my job is? This is shocking..."
I guess I passed her challenge with flying colours.
.
She wasn't a sex worker, due to harsh circumstances like severe poverty or mountains of heavy medical bills for her family.
A drunk gang rape incident in her uni days changed her views on men and she wanted to take revenge on men. She lived a life of drugs and alcohol in between her lectures.
The way I see it, is her obsession for money that caused her downfall.
On one hot summer day in 2006, she answered a social escort advertisement. She was barely 21 and was influenced by what she read online.
The "Mama-san" who looked her over told her she needed to put on weight.
She was surprised. Wasn't it easier to earn money with a slim figure?
The Mama-san snapped, "Nonsense. Most men dislike a woman who is too slim. They prefer those with some flesh."
She silently made a promise to herself to swallow more burgers.
Her first client was an Arabic businessman. She was paid US500 for one hour.
That virgin taste of easy money lured her deeper and deeper into the abyss.
Clients of powerful backgrounds, Singapore and overseas, single and married, private and government sectors...one-on-one, multiple players, mass orgies...
She lived like a bird freed from her cage. Suddenly she could buy anything she desired, just by sweet talking and giving lusty men access to her nubile body. She was in and out of hotels, as frequently as 5 times a day.
The carefree lifestyle, the freedom of not answering to any boss and those money that poured from the sky was her drug.
In her own words, she was "the woman that all wives curse and fear".
She referred to herself as the woman the wife will loathe to find traces of existence, when the wife checks her husband's handphone with trembling hands.
It was as if she took pride in that.
How did her cause of seeking revenge on men become a twisted path of demolishing other women's marriages?
.
It didn't take her long to accumulate 6-figures in her bank account.
The more money she had, however, the more insecure she became.
She worried about losing it all. She deeply craved the warmth of love to complete her soul.
She was only 22. The client was manly, handsome and charming. He gave her $20K for her company.
She badly wanted him for her own. To be his wife.
With $100,000 withdrawn, she gave it all to her 2nd Mama-san. She decided she would use black magic to lock his heart. And soul.
But it was a fraud. The Mama-san started exhorting from her.
She was desperate and down to her last $2. She began stealing from her family and lying to feed the incessant demands and threats from her Mama-san.
She gradually realised this was her retribution of selling her body for quick money.
However, this new realisation didn't change her a bit.
She met a new client, Dave. He was a married man. It was love at first sight for her.
The initial joy she had from the money and attention he showered her blinded her wisdom to the extramarital affair.
She stayed in one of Hong Kong's expensive apartments at a prime district. But it soon became an soulless shell of loneliness that prompted her suicide attempts.
Dave coldly dumped her like a hot potato, as he didn't wish to handle an emotionally volatile woman.
.
Ken told her she bore an uncanny resemblance to his first love. She fell hard for his sweet words and gentle demeanour.
He weaved a forlorn tale of an emotionally abusive and lonely marriage, and how it was impossible for him not to to be attracted to her.
They travelled greatly and dined at expensive restaurants.
To have a married man giving his heart to her, was like tasting the forbidden apple. That first juicy bite satiated her craving to be desired. And to win another woman.
This time, she decided she would use black magic again to break up his marriage. She coveted that role of his wife. A permanent and lasting relationship, finally.
Black magic uses the dark forces of ghosts to carry out the client's wishes. She paid a good US$10,000 for a famous sorcerer and another US$4000 for her Thai amulet and mud puppet.
Did she capture Ken in the end?
They got into physical fights crazily. The amulet that controlled the ghosts backfired, and her sanity was devoured by the ghosts.
.
Her craziness drove her to swallow 200 sleeping pills and cut her wrists. ANYTHING to have him stay with her. Ken was horrified and visited her daily at the hospital. She felt triumphant. Finally, he was at her beck and call.
The happiness was short-lived. After her discharge, he broke up with her when he was on an overseas stint.
She went absolutely berserk and grabbed a knife to her throat. It felt that the ghosts wielded full control of her mind and body. Her mum kept yelling at her.
The realisation of truth came too late for her: A man, who lied to his wife and had an affair, will never be honest with her. Once a liar, always a liar.
She was warded into the high-dependancy unit at the mental hospital. Everyday, she was surrounded by suicidal and high-risk patients. They were bounded at their feet and hands. It was a petrifying sight. Was this the end of her life? She wasn't even 28. How did she allowed a man to destroy her prime years?
She sought to understand love and karma. She delved into Buddhist books, wanting to know what caused her to lose her mind. She started to have deep regret about taking short cuts in life and her laziness in earning money the ethical way. She saw, on her hands, the fresh blood of people's happiness that she had killed.
But the greed and anxiety in her couldn't be satisfied with a regular job. Or a single man who doesn't make enough to provide for her.
She was needy, attention-seeking and quarrelsome. I had called her a yoyo. I had spent many hours over a few months, replying to her messages.
Every day, she fought hard against the temptation to take up another escort job
.
「捨邪歸正」
I lost count how many Masters she sought advice from before she found me online.
She read my posts and was amazed by my tenacity to take failures.
She watched my video on suicide and became aware of the Hell that all suicide victims go to. To repeat that act of killing themselves every day at the same time they died.
Among the many things I said at our consultation, I could tell her the age range she sold herself and that it was a elder lady who gave her the chance. She was surprised at my accuracy.
I told her the only way out was to sincerely repent for her past misdeeds. Blind listening to Buddhist chants and sutras would do nothing to change her fate. That is passive. Being active is to recite it and abide by the precepts.
I instructed her to write out her story in as much details as possible, to lead other sex workers, or wannabes, suicidal people and men with affairs to the Right Path.
This was one of the fastest ways I know that can change a disastrous life around.
All the Thai amulets, crystals and pendants she stashed in her room MUST go. She spoke of their decreasing power over time, and it seemed like a never-ending black hole as she kept on buying more and more to help her legitimate business.
She asked whether she would be able to get a publisher to buy her story.
I told her to forget about making money from her book. Give it for free. Post it online. Somehow, somewhere, everywhere. Get the story out. Fast.
When her boyfriend left her a sum of money, I insisted that she returned it. Don't take money that you didn't earn it rightfully. She said that was her breakup fee. I put my feet down, and said it was a proper relationship between two singles, and she caused the breakup. Why would she need money for loving a man who had loved her?
She promised she would write her story.
But she lied to me. Just like how she lied of making the $49 donation the next day, before seeking a Bazi consultation with me.
She went to the Guan Yin Temple at Waterloo Street, and sought a divination stick. It was her favourite activity whenever she was troubled or at a dilemma.
Right after she left the temple, she messaged and questioned why she received a 下簽 (bad lot) for my recommendation.
I asked for the number of the divination lot and the actual question she posed.
"I want to write a story about my life to encourage women not to sell their bodies and for married men not to have affairs. I may be hurt or sabotaged by people, so please protect me."
That didn't sound like a question. But the Bodhisattva had a way in teaching sentient beings.
I was dumbfounded at the Bodhisattva's omnipresent accuracy and foresight, when I saw the divination number.
It was a bad lot indeed, but not because of the solution I gave to my client.
.
「莊子試妻」
Zhuangzi was a famous and well-respected Chinese philosopher of the Warring States Period.
One day at the mountains, he walked past a new grave and saw a woman kneeling over the freshly turned soil, hurriedly fanning it.
Not understanding the woman's behaviour, Zhuangzi asked for her intention.
The woman replied, that her husband lied beneath the soil. Before he died, he had said she could only remarry, when the soil of his grave dried. It was the rainy season at that time, hence her fervent fanning, so that she could quickly seek a new man.
Zhuangzi shook his head, when he heard of her heartlessness.
Unknown to many, Zhuangzi was an accomplished Taoist practitioner. With his supernatural powers, he helped the woman to dry the soil almost immediately. Thrilled at the dried grave, the widow gave her fan to Zhuangzi and hurried down the mountain.
Zhuangzi returned home, singing and waving the fan. His wife, Tian, questioned where he got the fan from. When she heard of the widow, Tian was so angry that she tore the fan into pieces and called the widow shameless.
Zhuangzi pacified his wife and said he had faith in her chastity.
A few days later, he fell very sick and died. Tian was saddened at her husband's sudden death and wept in sorrow
At his funeral, a very handsome young man showed up with his old servant. He said he was Zhuangzi's student, and a son of an important government official.
He wanted to perform the rites of a dutiful student, and helped in his teacher's funeral, by watching vigil for three years.
His good looks caught the eye of the newly minted widow, Tian. She sought to know more his eligibility from the old servant.
Within 20 days, they got married.
On the night of their wedding, the young man was struck with an ear-shattering migraine. Tian anxiously asked the old servant for help. The old servant said his young master had this strange illness since birth. The only cure was to consume the brain of a human. Back in his hometown, the father would take the brain from the prisoners sentenced for death for his son.
But in this remote countryside, where could they find a human brain as medicine?
Tian thought of her dead husband. She promptly took an axe and hacked open his coffin.
Zhuangzi leapt out from the coffin and mused this now-famous Chinese verse, "青竹蛇兒口,黃蜂尾上針,兩者皆不毒,最毒婦人心。"
Tian proclaimed that she heard noises in her coffin and wanted to see if Zhuangzi was alive.
Zhuangzi questioned the red finery on her and the red decor in the house. Tian argued that she wanted to welcome him. So she donned on the wedding finery to get married with him again.
The young man and his servant walked in. They were actually manifestations of Zhuangzi's supernatural powers.
Tian was so ashamed of her heartless and deciteful act that she eventually hung herself.
.
Every divination lot comes with a poem and a background story. This was the background story on my client's divination lot.
The poem states:
因名喪德如何事 卻恐吉中變化凶
酒醉不知何處去 青松影里夢朦朧
Virtues are destroyed in pursuit of self gain. Fear that the auspicious will morph into bad.
The drunkard knows nowhere to go. In the green forest a shadow lingers in a dreamy haze.
.
It is common to encounter clients that lack faith in my recommendations.
Some will ask many questions after our session, wanting to know why my solutions will help them or how I derive my solutions. There are also emotional clients who would flare up and lose all their manners, when they can't get an answer that they like from me.
I don't ask my doctor what ingredient goes into the making of my cough syrup and how it works scientifically in my body.
I take action by drinking it as prescribed. Because based on past experience, I trust that his medicine will work to help my predicament. I don't drink, I continue to be sick, I don't see results.
My suggestions don't require my clients to consume unknown medical liquids into their bodies. Yet few clients take action, when it comes to their Destiny.
Despite me being recommended by their friend who experienced positive results with my help, and have genuine testimonials to justify my fees.
That divination lot was Bodhisattva telling me: My client will not write her story, for she does not sincerely regret her past acts.
It was also a grave reprimand to her to mend her ways before it was too late.
But she didn't see the divination lot in the same manner as I did.
Not only does she lack faith in my words, she distrusted the holy words of the Bodhisattva too.
.
Give money, buy love, buy fame, buy business, buy wealth and buy that. No need hard work.
Such is the sexy appeal of many ghostly amulets. They appeal to people who want many things in life but refuse to follow the Law of Karma, to sow seeds the right way.
I see one client bidded for a Thai amulet from a Facebook Live. Another wanted to buy a multi-coloured bracelet, because "so pretty! Got power some more!" Luckily, his Wife who had learned some Buddhism from me stopped him.
.
In March 2017, this client sent me a message:
"Hi Ji Qian, hope you are well. Good luck for your Home Fengshui For A Happy Marriage tomorrow.
I was looking thru our past convos where we first started speaking online. Yes, Im a spoilt brat and Im a yoyo porcupine. I look at a sentence that is poignant - "the day you stop relying on men is the day you become prosperous". I wonder if that day will ever come. I I finally understand that my Facebook Adverts getting disabled is due to my past karma. And I haven't finished writing the repentance story which u instructed me to write in August. I think I know that I'm half-hearted in repentance, that's why I can't bring myself to finish the story. I'm just wondering if I am supposed to survive on my savings till my Facebook Advert Account get reactivated.
I haven't been able to find any new product to sell since XXX (sales also failing miserably). I am weak-willed and too reliant on men. The only thing keeping me from committing suicide is my mum and because I'm reminded by Shifu's words that a suicide victim is doomed to repeat the same act."
菩薩英明。
.
Last year, I had casually asked if I could share her story. She promptly gave me the permission.
Yesterday, one client called me unempathetic towards him. The way he wrote suddenly jolted my memory of this client. I had taken too long to write her story.
I told her to write in English and Chinese, and she did part of it.
The account you read of her past was adapted from her written work. Though there are many grammar and structural mistakes, she does write very well.
The poison in our hearts will eventually consume our souls if we do not purge it out. What joy is there when we resort to brutal force to keep a man by our side? Should he chooses to leave, that does not discount the value of our self worth. A man who isn't interested in you for the right reason isn't attractive.
The same goes for men who cheat or pay for sex. You are ruining another woman's life when you satisfy your lust.
When you inflict suffering on another being, in return, you get pain and suffering on yourself. So don't sow the seed in the first place. Repentance done right over a period of time can prevent your past bad seeds from germinating, and reduce your suffering.
If there is any merit in sharing her story here, I dedicate all of it to my client.
May she have the inner wisdom and stability to lead a virtuous life.
May she always be surrounded by good teachers to show her the way.
May her vile affinities be broken and replaced by good ones.
May her greed and hatred be subdued.
May she repent for her past transgressions in time.
No matter how long it may take, one step forward into the Light is one step away from Darkness.
.
ཨོཾ་མ་ཎི་པདྨེ་ཧཱུྂ༔
Om Ma Ni Peh Me Hom
prisoners dilemma 在 コバにゃんチャンネル Youtube 的最佳貼文
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