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The English version of Prof Yuen and Prof Lung's article is already available: 👇🏻
18 Mar 2020: David Christopher Lung, Yuen Kwok-yung: Pandemic Originated from Wuhan; Lesson from 17 Years Ago Forsaken
Winter of Jihai (2019), a virus began in Wuhan. Comes spring of Gengzi (2020), an epidemic broke out in Hubei. Within China, there were 80,000 confirmed cases, and 3,000 deaths. People were confined in their homes and the epidemic only began slowing down towards the end of the month, yet the virus had leaked to the world outside before it could be stopped. In March, it was a pandemic, only it was announced too late by the World Health Organization (WHO). Countries lacked measures and reserves, and the pandemic swept across the globe. Singapore, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan were spared from the pandemic with continuous sprinkles of overseas imported cases and small groups, but have not yet fallen.
This pandemic came from a virus, shaped like a corona, hence named Coronavirus. Since 2015, WHO has avoided using names of people, places, animals, food, culture, occupation, etc., to name illnesses. For this one, the “year” was used for differentiation, COVID-19. In the naming of viruses, International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV) analyses only the genome sequencing meticulously and disregards the other aspects. Since the genome sequence of this Coronavirus was “not novel enough”, it belongs in the same sisterhood with the SARS Coronavirus, also known as SARS 2.0 (SARS-CoV-2). Local and international media call it the Wuhan Coronavirus or Wuhan Pneumonia, simple and straight-forward, which is not incorrect.
Much controversy has resulted in society regarding the name of this pandemic. In fact, the illness was named by WHO, while the virus was named by ICTV. Nicknames are conventional, as long as they are clear and understood. In scientific discussions or academic exchanges, COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 must be used. In daily public communications or media wordings, Wuhan Coronavirus or Wuhan Pneumonia are both conventional, easy to understand, and great for communication purposes.
The Pandemic of Gengzi, an Origin in Wuhan
Around 75% of the newly discovered infectious diseases originated from wild animals. Among the few that could infect mammals is the Coronavirus, whose ancestral virus originated from bats or avians. Both have the ability to fly thousands of miles to the place the virus was first discovered, therefore the naming of a virus would also include its place of origin. To investigate the origin of a virus, the correct and objective way is to isolate the virus from the animal host. Unfortunately, since Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market was eradicated early on, the wild animals in the market were already gone by the time researchers had arrived to collect samples. The identities of the natural host and the intermediate host became a mystery. According to the locals, the wild animals sold within the Market came from all over China, Southeast Asia, and Africa (smuggled) to be distributed from there. The ancestral virus of the Wuhan Coronavirus cannot be determined.
Using genome sequencing to determine its origin, a bat Coronavirus stand (RaTG13) was found to be extremely similar to the Wuhan Coronavirus, with a sequencing similarity of 96%, therefore it is believed to be the ancestral virus stand of this Wuhan Coronavirus. This particular virus strand was obtained and isolated from Yunnan bats (Rhinolophus sinicus), and bats are believed to be the natural host of this Wuhan Coronavirus. Epidemiology clearly indicated Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market as the amplification epicenter, where there was a huge possibility that the virus had cross-infected between the natural host and the intermediate host, and then mutated within the intermediate host to adapt to the human body, followed by human-to-human infections.
The identity of the intermediate host remains unknown, but genome sequencing indicated that the Spike Receptor-binding domain of the Wuhan Coronavirus has a 90% similarity to that of the pangolin Coronavirus strand. Although the pangolin could not be confirmed as the intermediate host, it is highly possible that this pangolin Coronavirus strand donated Spike Receptor-binding domain DNA (or even the entire sequence) to the bat Coronavirus strand. Though gene shuffling recombination, the novel Coronavirus was born.
Wild Animal Market, the Origin of Innumerable Viruses
The 2003 SARS virus originated from Heyuan, became an epidemic in Guangdong, and passed to Hong Kong. The SARS Coronavirus was found in civets, and China clearly banned the trading of wild animals afterward. 17 years on, the wild animal market has run amuck. The Chinese have outright forgotten the lessons from SARS and have allowed a live wild animal market to exist within the centre of a highly developed city, with wild animals being cooked and eaten in brought daylight – simply astonishing. The feces of the animals within a live wild animal market contain a large amount of germs and viruses. With a crowded environment, vile hygiene, and a mix of wild animal species, gene shuffling and mutation could easily occur in viruses, therefore these markets must be banned.
Reform of the wet markets should be a focus of epidemic prevention. The mainland Chinese and Hong Kong governments must quickly improve these environments by enhancing ventilation and pest control. Before the complete elimination of live-animal markets, animal feces must be well handled to minimise the chances of gene shuffling in viruses.
The online rumour that the virus originated from USA was absolutely groundless, delusional. Stop spreading the falsity before we expose ourselves to ridicule. To remain calm before a pandemic, informational transparency is of the utmost importance. With calm and objective analysis, refrain from parroting others and spreading hearsay. Not strictly enforcing the closure of all wild animal markets after SARS was a grave mistake. In order to defeat an illness, one must own up to the mistakes and face the truths. Stop committing the same mistakes and putting the blame onto others. The Wuhan Coronavirus was a product of the inferior culture of the Chinese people: excessive hunting and ingesting wild animals, inhumane treatment of animals, disrespecting lives. Continuing to devour wild animals for human desires, the deep-rooted bad habits of the Chinese people are the real origin of the virus. With this attitude, in a dozen years, SARS 3.0 is bound to happen.
(Dr Lung graduated in 2004 from the University of Hong Kong, Faculty of Medicine with distinction in Medicine. He currently works in the Hong Kong Children’s Hospital, where he built up the microbiology team and lab. Yuen Kwok-yung is a Professor and Chair of Infectious Diseases of the Department of Microbiology of the University of Hong Kong)
(Original image by Ming Pao)
https://news.mingpao.com/pns/%e8%a7%80%e9%bb%9e/article/20200318/s00012/1584470310596/%e9%be%8d%e6%8c%af%e9%82%a6-%e8%a2%81%e5%9c%8b%e5%8b%87-%e5%a4%a7%e6%b5%81%e8%a1%8c%e7%b7%a3%e8%b5%b7%e6%ad%a6%e6%bc%a2-%e5%8d%81%e4%b8%83%e5%b9%b4%e6%95%99%e8%a8%93%e7%9b%a1%e5%bf%98
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* innovation (n.) 創新
* startup (n.) 創始
* entrepreneur (n.) 創業家;企業家
* inception (n.) 創業
🌡 Medical & Healthcare Innovation:
* Medical digital imaging (n.) 醫療數位成影
* Medical Laser (n.) 醫療雷射
* Telemedicine (n.) 遠端醫療(tele-: far)
* Early diagnosis (n.) 預診
* Smart surgical equipment (n.) 人工智慧手術器材
* Life-science (n.) 生命科學
* High-end technology (n.) 高端科技
* Fingertip monitor (n.) 指式脈搏血氧儀
* Capsule Endoscopy (n.) 膠囊內視鏡
* (Robotic) Exoskeleton (n.) 動力服
* Stem-cell therapy (n.) 幹細胞療法
* Implantable device (n.) 植入式設備
📊 Financial Technology Innovation:
* Financial crisis (n.) 經融危機
* Investment (n.) 投資
* Deposit (n.) 押金;頭款;存款
* Acumen (n.) 決策力(生意上)
* Revenue (n.) 被動式收入(如稅收)
* Deficit (n.) 財務赤字
* Leverage (n.) 以小博大(多用在金融投資上,小錢滾大錢)
* Cost-efficiency (n.) 成本效益
* Banking-giant (n.) 金融巨擘
* Big data analysis (n.) 大數據分析
* Bitcoin (n.) 比特幣
* Interest (n.) 利潤
* Wealthtech (n.) 財富科技
* Insurtech (n.) 保險科技
* Corporate venture capital (n.) 企業創投
* Proliferation (n.) 增值
🌾 Agro-tech: Agriculture Technology Innovation:
* Drip irrigation (n.) 滴灌技術
* Grain cocoon (n.) 穀物繭
* Biological pest control (n.) 生物害蟲控制
* Greenhouse (n.) 溫室
* Clean-tech (n.) 綠能科技
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pest analysis 在 方.略.觀點 Facebook 的最佳解答
#活動報導 #經營環境分析 #一頁就能掌握
「我怎麼知道情報蒐集得夠不夠?是不是有漏掉潛在的新興趨勢?」
「身為幕僚團隊,每年都會做很多的趨勢分析,不知道這些報告是不是真的都有協助到高層決策或是內部溝通?」
「各個部門關注的趨勢方向和內容都不太一樣,我也不是每個領域的專家,怎麼知道哪些是重點?」
4個小時的《經營環境分析》,主要核心的目的是:讓大家在資訊爆炸與環境劇烈變化的年代,能夠使用經營環境分析圖來「一頁掌握重要的信號和洞悉變化的意義」。經營環境分析聽起來是很生硬艱難的概念,但顧問透過清晰的定義說明、概念比喻、實際可演練的案例,讓大家秒懂「什麼是經營環境分析」,了解信號與意義的差別、判斷信號的重要性、更有方法的解讀信號背後的意義與分析關聯性,產生自己的觀點故事。
視覺化的經營環境分析圖 (context analysis map) 與其他經營分析工具不同的地方,是能更充分表現主題、空間、時間的3維立體關係,讓分析者除了更容易一眼掌握信號趨勢之外,更容易分析其間的動態關係。
「今天參加這個課程,看出經營環境信號之間動態的關聯性很有價值!因為這樣就能了解哪些信號比較重要,能幫助大家討論時聚焦和收斂。」
「過去用PEST的分析方法,感覺信號是彼此分開的,但今天更了解怎麼看到環境信號彼此間的關聯性。這是和過去不同的經驗,而且是能夠幫助專案推動的重要收穫。」
而除了實際操作以外,Diane 和 Helen 也透過專案案例,說明經營環境分析能為組織帶來的價值:幫助跳脫所屬產業看到影響生意的更大層面、幫助跨部門跨專業的討論形成共識、幫助企業思考應如何回應經營環境的變化。
「經歷今天完整的過程,我覺得經營環境分析圖能夠幫助不同部門彼此對話、釐清觀點,進行有效的溝通、消除不同專業間對話上的藩籬。」
「經營環境分析,能夠幫助我思考如何協助家裡的生意,用不同的思維從中尋找轉變的機會。」
「我覺得將經營環境分析圖的內容再轉換成視覺圖像很精彩!能夠藉此說出一個讓人記住的故事,創造組織共同的急迫感、啟發團隊一起改變的動機!」
我想要參加下次的經營環境分析工作坊,請優先通知我>>https://goo.gl/CboEzu
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