#Opinion by Li Ruofan 李若凡|"As for risk assets, although rising US Treasury yields may cause volatility, especially for technology stocks that are sensitive to interest rates, I do not see that as a sign of a bear market. Rather, it suggests a risk-on mood may prevail in the market. For one thing, the Fed and other central banks may maintain a loose policy, thus creating a low interest rate environment. Besides, the traditional economy may benefit from gradual economic recovery and the easing of lockdown measures. Third, although the real rate of return of 10-year US Treasuries has increased, the rate remains negative, meaning the rate of return of risk assets is still attractive."
Read more: https://bit.ly/3chSBbN
"至於風險資產,儘管美債收益率上升可能引起波動,尤其是對利率敏感的科技股,惟筆者認為這並非熊市的先兆。反而,市場的情緒仍可能偏向risk-on。首先,美聯儲和其他主要央行短期內可能維持寬鬆政策不變,為投資者繼續營造一個低息環境。其次,隨經濟復蘇及封鎖措施解除,舊經濟板塊可能受惠。第三,美國10年期實際收益率雖有所上升,但仍處於負值,意味風險資產的收益率仍然吸引。"
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同時也有2部Youtube影片,追蹤數超過10萬的網紅hketvideo,也在其Youtube影片中提到,今集《股市講呢啲》跟大家溫故知新,到底何謂負利率政策,為何要這樣做,對經濟有幫助嗎?兩分鐘為大家解讀。 ......(更多內容﹕http://invest.hket.com/article/1387579) 【經濟日報】更多分析請訂閱hket.com,現提供14天免費試用 http://www....
negative interest rate 在 李怡 Facebook 的精選貼文
Possessed by Auntie Hua |Lee Yee
“I have always possessed the worst malice when speculating about the Chinese people,” said Lu Xun. It has almost been a century since Lu Xun said this. Is it still the case, or is it even worse? The modern version needs no more “speculations” that there have been too much evidence and universally applicable inferences.
Carrie Lam talked about the sanctions from the US and reiterated that she has no assets in the US. She said, “I am not eager to go to the US, and I just laugh it off and snort with contempt at the so-called sanctions against myself as they are neither reasonable nor logical.”
Those who truly love the country and the party should put aside personal interest considerations, even if they have assets in the US, even if they yearn for the US, they must do what they should do for the interests of the party-state. As such, why do some who have assets in the US or yearn for the US not able to laugh it off, but instead put their personal interests above the implementation of the CCP’s will? Or should they be prepared for sanctions as soon as possible?
"Snort with contempt"? Such scorn towards the US sanctions. But what if not only the US, but also the UK joins the sanctions? A few days ago, in "A Laowai’s [foreigner's] view of China" video, Alicia Kearns, a member of the Parliament of the UK and a member of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee, talked about her views on the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law and the sanctions against Carrie Lam and other officials. She said, "I really hope we can see the sanctions against the CCP, they are the group of people who have committed the most appalling human rights violations in the world." When Carrie Lam was asked two days ago whether her family members hold British passports, she said that her family members are those who need her protection the most. Therefore she refused to discuss anything about them. Why can’t she “snort with contempt” at the possible sanctions by the UK?
Carrie Lam said that whether it is the National Security Law or the postponement of the elections, the decisions were "based on the interests of the Hong Kong people": "I don't understand at all. Why will a local leader carry out local duties within her country be sanctioned by foreign governments? I really don’t know the grounds and the logic behind this.”
Many countries have already repeated clearly the reasons behind but being the Chief Executive of Hong Kong, she still does not understand. Has she been possessed by Auntie Hua [Chinese Auntie]? Other reasons aside, just take how various countries have now suspended their extradition agreements with Hong Kong. When these agreements were signed, Hong Kong law clearly stated that the arrangement for the surrender of fugitive offenders is not applicable to "any other part of the People’s Republic of China". This means the offenders in Hong Kong will not be extradited to any other part of China, but the Hong Kong version of the National Security Law changed everything. Article 56 states that criminals who violate the National Security Law can be investigated by the Office for Safeguarding National Security of the CPG in the HKSAR and the Supreme People’s Procuratorate can exercise the prosecutorial power, while the Supreme People’s Court can exercise the judicial power. The situation is now different from when the agreements were signed, so it is reasonable to terminate the agreement when no choices are left. However, there are two kinds of logic in the world, one is logic and the other one is the Chinese logic. What Carrie Lam follows is Chinese logic.
In response to the Western sanctions against her, Carrie Lam claimed that "justice lies in the hearts of the people". She also said that the postponement of the LegCo election was primarily for the health of the public, without political considerations, and not from the fear of losing the election. She believed that the foundation of public opinion for the postponement of the election was solid. Praise the Lord if she hadn't mentioned the public opinion, because even God would even laugh at the absurdity. According to the latest public opinion survey published on July 28, Carrie Lam’s approval rate was only 18%, the disapproval rate was 72%, and the net rating was negative 54%, which was a record low. With such a rating, she is able to talk about "the hearts of the people" and "foundation of the public opinion " with no embarrassment and without blushing!
Earlier, there have been rumors from the leaders of the pro-Beijing camp, and coupled with the high voter turnout rate from the pro-democracy primaries, only mentally-challenged would believe Carrie Lam that the postponement of the election for one year is for the sake of the health of the people. There is a saying in the British TV series "Yes Minister": "Never believe anything until it has been officially denied." Now Carrie Lam denied both political considerations and the fear of losing - something the people can finally believe to be true.
Carrie Lam’s big moves in the consecutive days and her Auntie Hua style rhetoric have made Hong Kong citizens understand more reversely what the “Special Atrocious region government” has done: Why are only Xinjiang and Hong Kong the two places in China with the epidemic outbreaks? Borders are not closed so to introduce the Chinese laboratories, and build the Fangcang hospital. During the period from February to May, more than 200,000 people were exempted from quarantine, bringing new levels of severity to the epidemic, and therefore the election is postponed for one year due to the epidemic. Are these all scripted? Some netizens reminded that in 2015, Xinjiang Uyghurs randomly assaulted 13 people brutally at Guangzhou train station. In the same year, Xinjiang's "re-education camps" surfaced.
Hong Kong has accelerated towards one system. According to Lu Xun, there's never "the worst" and only “worsening”.
negative interest rate 在 ลงทุนแมน Facebook 的最佳解答
ข่าวประชาสัมพันธ์..
แสนสิริ เสนอขายหุ้นกู้ด้อยสิทธิที่มีลักษณะคล้ายทุนฯ ดอกเบี้ย 5 ปีแรก 8.50% ต่อปี
บริษัท แสนสิริ จำกัด (มหาชน) หรือ SIRI มีแผนเสนอขาย Subordinated Perpetual Bond หรือ หุ้นกู้ด้อยสิทธิที่มีลักษณะคล้ายทุนฯ โดยการเสนอขายหุ้นกู้ด้อยสิทธิที่มีลักษณะคล้ายทุนฯ ครั้งนี้ เป็นการวางแผนด้านการเงินเพื่อรองรับการเติบโตในระยะยาวของบริษัท เพื่อให้เป็นไปตามเป้าหมายของการรักษาความเป็นเบอร์หนึ่งในเรื่อง “แบรนด์อันดับหนึ่งของคนอยากมีบ้านในวงการอสังหาริมทรัพย์ไทย” อย่างต่อเนื่...
Continue ReadingPress Release..
Sansiri offers to sell inferior loan shares with similarities. Interest 5 first 8.50 % per year.
Sansiri Public Company Limited or SIRI has a plan to offer Subordinated Perpetual Bond or Unintelligible Equity Equity by proposing to sell inferior equity equity with similarities. This is a financial planning to support the long-term growth of the company. To meet the goal of maintaining the number one in ′′ the number one brand of people who want to have a house in Thai real estate industry ′′ and maintaining a stable business growth.
Offer to the average investor worth not more than 3,000 million baht. Minimum booking of 100,000 baht and multiply 100,000 baht per time. Interest rate in the first 5 years equals 8.50 % per year. Pay interest every 3 months.
Sansiri is the leading real estate company in Thailand. It has been in business for more than 36 years. There is a project in Bangkok (90 %) and other provinces (10 %) covering all groups of single, townhouse and condominium. Niams include the price level that drilled Mass Market group from 1.2 million baht to Luxury items that drill high-income groups, including joint venture for condominium projects with big business groups such as venture. With BTS group and Tokyu Corporation from Japan
As Sansiri has a comprehensive project, all products help to diversify risks of companies. For example, if any cartel or product level is affected by the economy or popularity, companies are capable of having products that respond to a product or a price level of product. Another product group has made it not to lean on the income from the product or one customer group.
In addition to the main income from property development, the company also has income from other businesses to distribute risks.
1. Project management income and representative in buying, selling and renting through the company. Plus Property Company.
2. In 2017, the company expanded its business to foreign countries by acquisition of Hotel Chain named The Standard with hotels under international management such as New York, LA and London.
3. Investing in technology businesses through the Corporate Venture Capital of a company called SIRI Ventures to find investment opportunities in new technologies around the world.
Income and profit of Sansiri
Year 2017 Income 31,757 million baht. Profit 2,824 million baht.
Year 2018 Income 27,146 million baht. Profit 2,046 million baht.
Year 2019 Income 26,291 million baht. Profit 2,392 million baht.
Sansiri's results may be going up and down each year, depending on the delivery of the project each year.
In addition, the past investment started to make some profits to Sansiri for the first quarter of this year. The company recorded the profit of Co-working Space shares called JustCo by record profit of over 700 million Baht.
What is the plan for future Sansiri growth?
Sansiri has announced its goal to be 1th in the Plains (House and Townhome) project, which proceeds from Plains are relatively stable in comparison with condominium project to help fluctuate income. Less in the future
Including Expansion of The Standard Hotel and International Investments to continually expand the revenue base and distribute the company's risks.
In addition, Sansiri has a plan to push sales to grow to 120,000 million Baht within 3 years with strong proactive business plan. 3 ways include:
1. Plans to launch a new project that is tightly transformed to any situation. In half a year after assessment of scenarios, Sansiri has a business plan to move forward to launch 14 new residential projects to support 14 single houses. 6 Townhome and mix project 6 more projects worth 15,200 million baht, including 2 condominium launch plan. Total value of 2,500 million baht.
2. Good stock management. Now Sansiri has ready-to-sell products worth around 7,000 million baht, which is a balanced amount in the market.
3. Strong cash flow management and good liquidity allocated Cash Flow. The company's turnover is up to 10,000 million Baht. It's ready to run the business and is strong in every Council. The company has also scaled the 2563 sales target. Increased to 35,000 million baht, up to 76 % from the last year with total sales of 21,000 million Baht. Due to the result of the business just 5 months ago, it generated sales of over 22,000 million Baht. Growing to 168 % from the same period of the year before
For Sansiri's underlying loan, Sansiri will be reserved between 22-25 June 2563 The company's credibility ranks at BBB +/ Negative and the trust of the loan. At BBB-Ranked by Tris Rating on April 1, 2563
Important terms of inferior loan. The right that resembles the capital comprises.
1. The age of the stock loan is the loan. This time is the loan. No age of the shareholder has no right to give the loan to redeem the lender before the due to redemption. But the lender has the right to redeem 5 years.
2. How to get a refund. If the company finishes the business, this loan will have a decrease in debt after the general creditor, but before the ordinary shareholder.
3. The loan issuer has the right to postpone the interest. This loan, the loan shark can delay the interest by flattering to pay any day. No time and number of times. But if delayed the interest of the loan, the lender will be paid. Cannot announce or pay dividends to shareholders.
4. Interest rates will be fined every 5 years based on 5 years of government bond yield.
Interested people can ask for more information from 6 top financial institutions:
Bangkok Bank. Call 1333
Krungthai Bank. Call 0-2111-111
Kasikorn Bank. Call 0-2888-8888 Press 819
Siam Commercial Bank. Call 0-2777-6784
CIMB Thai Bank. Call 0-2626-7777
And the Bor. Finn cuddle p.m. Cyrus call 0-2658-9500
Or www.sansiri.com; call. 1685
Or more details can be found from the listing, bidding, and prospectus at www.sec.or.th
< Important Warning >
1. Understands of the right to resemble capital. High risk product. Investors should study and understand the product characteristics, conditions, returns and risks before making investment decision. Investment is risky. Please complete the information before making investment decision. Investors can be able to. Discover details from the listing and draft of prospectus at www.sec.or.th
2. Bond market in Thailand has low liquidity. Selling instruments in secondary market could be reduced or increased by depending on market conditions and demand.
Top 3. credibility of a regulator is just an investment decision-making data. Not an introduction of trading on a proposed bond and not a guarantee of the ability to pay the debt of an instrument and when the loan issuer stops paying interest. (In case the company is not informed. Postpone the interest of loan) or early money is default to pay the loan debt (default). If the loan issuer declares bankruptcy or defaults to pay the debt, the shareholders, and other creditors of the company, the loan will have the right north. Common shareholder of the company, issuer in the assessment of the credit risk of lenders, investors can see the results of the credibility ratings of the lenders or lenders (credit rating) provided by institutions. Risk rankings, making investment decisions if credit. Rating of low borrower or lender shows that credit risk of lenders or lenders is high. Returns of investors should be high to compensate for the high risk of lenders.Translated
negative interest rate 在 hketvideo Youtube 的最佳解答
今集《股市講呢啲》跟大家溫故知新,到底何謂負利率政策,為何要這樣做,對經濟有幫助嗎?兩分鐘為大家解讀。
......(更多內容﹕http://invest.hket.com/article/1387579)
【經濟日報】更多分析請訂閱hket.com,現提供14天免費試用 http://www.hket.com/ietyoutube
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negative interest rate 在 我要做富翁 Youtube 的最佳貼文
負利率是一種貨幣政策,在1970年代已經開始出現,今集會為大家講解如何影響個人消費、企業活動和國家經濟;同時,負利率不小心使用會引發經濟危機和泡沫爆破。
*教學片中提及的負利率是理論性質,3分鐘簡單版教學,雖然有銀行真的對零售客戶推行過短期負利率政策,但現實世界大部分銀行面對負利率都會選擇不轉嫁給客戶,因為若轉嫁客戶將造成客戶流失甚至擠提,主要仍然是國家想更鼓勵銀行把資金借給個人消費和企業進行融資。*
簡單來說,負利率是銀行和個人存款時,不單沒有利息收入,還需要罰息。首先,資金會由國家央行流入銀行,而銀行便會以借貸形式借給個人和個別企業。當負利率發生時,假設央行設定在-0.1%,意味銀行本身,個人和企業身作出存款時,反而會被罰息。整體來說,政府希望鼓勵大家多主動消費和借錢投資。假設Francs是一名鞋類製作的廠家,業務發展強勁,多餘的資金會存入銀行收取一定利息。當銀行加息時,Francs可能會停止營運虧損的產品,把錢存入銀行,在風險較低的情況下也可以收取較多利息;相反,負利率情況下,錢存入銀行不單沒有利息,反而被罰息,便會迫使Francs把資金對外尋找其他的投資途經,不同國家行駛負利率有不同目標。例子是2009年美國QE,熱錢流出世界國地,2009-2010年丹麥和2012年的丹麥曾進行負利率政策,目標是希望阻止美國QE引發的熱錢流入。2014年歐洲央利也進利負利率,目標是希望資金主動投資於實體經濟;2016年日本也進行了負利率政策,這次政策停留在央行和銀行之間,如果銀行存款在央行便會罰息,由此鼓勵銀行把資金借給個人消費和企業進行融資。
理論上,負利率也其危險性。當銀行存款進行負利率時,存款和貸款的息差大大收窄,使毛利收益大幅下降,引致銀行倒閉,或不再主要經營以利息收入為主的生意,使融資渠道不再暢通,把經濟體系扭曲。以剛剛Francs為例,當她見到銀行負利率時,也不會考慮把資金放進銀行,投入經濟體和消費,她可能把資金放在自家「床底」更安全。因此整個策略,還要配合其他政策,刺激個人消費和鼓勵商家投資,令到商家覺得投資時有利可圖的。
希望大家知道負利率的好與壞,對整個經濟動向知道得更加深和闊,以制定組合的投資策略。
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