【龔成問答信箱】(Q17301-Q17320)
Q17301:
Sir, 我係股票班舊生, 用阿Sir這8堂所教知識去分析了1830/必瘦站(包括跟同行比較~發現必瘦站比2138及1827更有發展及優質, 之後填寫6張企業分析表)覺得此企業屬於優質股。
~分析如下(有時間慢慢睇, 唔使急, 謝謝🙏)
目標客戶以中產以上人士為收入來源(屬中高檔次, 有能力將成本轉嫁給客人)睇過他們過去5年的年報, 發現他們現金流非常強,而財務穩建, 沒有向銀行借貸。
營業額~ 除2017年(-13.89%)2016 2018 2019都有增長, 當然2020年疫情下仍然有4%增長已經算係唔錯。
1)管理層積極進取, 拓展海外發展(包括2020年2月在澳洲開業, 表現理想,
2)還想在今年進攻美國美容市場)。但疫情下可能會較謹慎考慮開店舖問題 (或者趁疫情下以平價的租金買或租舖, 去發展美國美容業務)。
3)另外, 亦看了2019 2020 年報, 他們都積極發展大陸市場(包括大灣區)
但集團仍然以香港為主要發展重心地區。
4)至於男士美容業務(講了2年仍沒開始, 可能待2021年才推出)
5)流動比率~過去5年介乎177%~205%(合格)
6)ROE~5年內有增長, 今年53.04%
7)總負債/股東資金比率~今年91.35% 算合格嗎?過住4年51%~74%
8)投資活動~ 過去5年都有投資發展企業(例如擴充香港及澳門/中國業務)(租舖/買機器/增加員工人手。。等等)
9)其中評估表內(估值~行業市盈率)
我以2138/香港醫思醫療集團的市盈率(12.43~12.85)及1827/卓珈控股的市盈率(28~30)比較, 好似太高, 所以用回必瘦站市盈率(7~9)
過住市盈率~亦以(7~9)
推算合理市盈率~ 以8~10計算估值, 所以推算約$1.44~2.20(這個股價合理區範圍正確嗎)如有錯請賜教!
必瘦站應該不屬於資產型企業, 所以市盈率及市賬率分析應對其分析平貴指標作用不大, 對嗎?
預估下年派息會減少, 因為疫情可能負增長(中國/澳門及澳洲),但香港營業額應該不會太過差
最後發覺分析1隻股票, 起碼7至14日時間(包括睇年報, 所以我非常佩服你)。 必瘦站的年報算是簡單, 如果地產/銀行或大型企業, 肯定要1個月時間。
非常感謝你細閱以上分析, 已將8堂所學的僅餘嘅投資分析及知識盡量發揮。
龔成老師:
你的分析不錯,基本上已掌握了課堂所學,並講出了重點。
1)2)3)佢的發展方向,以香港為重心,並同時會發展中國,相信中國是其中一個管理層會重點發展的地方。
但由於管理層由的表態曾經出現反覆(你睇佢多年年報的管理層講話就明),過往一直用高派息政策,反映發展心態唔算強,但都會發展。
到近年,曾經表示想大減派息大力發展中國市場,最後,派息後保持高水平,有時都難以完全掌握管理層的方向。
4)暫時唔好有太大期望。
5)6)7)對,合格。但由於高派息比率,ROE無反映到再投資回報率,因此只反映原有資金回報率。
8)相信佢仍會保持發展。
9)你的方向正確,我會比你估值計算出的高少少,主要因為現金流強,派息高同時仍有增長力。加上佢就算在疫情期間,都無虧損,這點令人有驚喜。
另外,由於之前派左大額股息$0.34,因此我地計算出來的估值後,都要減翻相關數目,以反映企業現金的實際流出。
大約$2.X是合理區,去到$1.7以下是平。
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Q17302:
疫情人工黎緊幾個月都要減四分一,開始迫我面對之前一直打算做既網上小店副業同埋真係報左幾個課程增值自己。
同埋我更清晰自己一直只有打工都係死路一條,人要多把刀比自己用。性格問題囉,我最討厭停滯不前既感覺。
但萬事起頭難 ,岩岩起步又要儲stock ,要用啲資金。唉 ,好多不確定令我開始有擔心既感覺。
幸運既係 仲有份工頂住,
前兩年我睇過相,批過命 ,又話我無股票運 又唔好同人夾份做生意,所以呢句野一直有啲影響我...好既係我無再玩短炒。
龔成 我都係80後 你真係好叻又努力。無㗎,我單純想呻下 ,我諗你都睇過秘密呢本書 ,我相信呢種力量。加油!
龔成老師:
加油!我地總會面對困難,而我成日同自己講,困難是我令進步的因素,短期當然會辛苦,但長遠反而更加好。
最重要是保持進步,同時要對自己有信心。
《秘密》這書當然有睇過,我的書都有講吸引力法則,因為這的確對我地有影響。網上小店保持發展啦,好多野要試先有答案。
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Q17303:
老師,因隻932而差點永不超生既我。因為最近既疫情問題反而令我增加了收入,現在手上既流動現金差不多有十多萬,想捉緊今次機會突破返,將失去既時間同金錢追返晒。
但因為國安法,而中美又會產生太多不明朗因素恐怕引發蝴蝶效應,所以近期前我都未會採取買入資產既行動
想請問老師意思,呢段時間除左留有現金外仲應該要點準備機會來臨?
龔成老師:
順騰國際控股(0932)生意無增長,年年虧損,加上2019年的核數師意見有少少問題,這都反映企業本身的投資價值唔高。你要多從企業的角度去分析。
你唔好太著重中短期分析,唔好太著重事件的分析,要著重翻企業的價值,以及財富組合的配置。同時要長線投資。
現時的大市,你唔好100%現金,雖然有些版塊熱炒,但同時有些版塊較合理,只要你以分注投資進行,仍是可以的。如果你擔心,就唔好入太多貨,但唔能夠無貨。
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Q17304:
老師你好,恕我冒昧想問一下關於我的狀況如何投資。
我4X歲,月入$35,000,剛離婚要自己搬出來,暫時租住朋友一間的房屋月租$15000,每月可儲蓄大概$7000
打算短期內購買一間500多萬的房屋,手上流動資金大概10萬元,請問我應該如何部署往後的資金?
龔成老師:
如果你想買一層$500萬樓,就算9成按,都要有一定的金額,你要盡力加大儲蓄,希望每月可以儲到$1萬以上。
你要計算計自己打算幾時買,如果中短期,就未必適合將資金投資,如果是中長期,資金就可以適度投資,但都要投資較穩健的股,平穩增長型,如盈富(2800)、銀娛(0027)、恆基(0012)、中銀(2388)、港鐵(0066)、平安(2318)、粵海(0270)、領展(0823)、港交所(0388)、希慎(0014)、太古地產(1972)等,你可以了解下這些股票,然後從中選股。
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Q17305:
你好呀,我一路以來都追開你嘅書 係你嘅fans 呢一兩年都有參考著你嘅書投資 首先想講返聲多謝 因為睇完你嘅建議再去睇年報 最尾成功係比較平嘅位買入恆基兆業
呢排自己睇到金沙中國價錢都嘅吸引 市盈率係15-16咁又見金沙城洒店改建嘅倫敦人就開幕 覺得有潛力 想慢慢分注買入 想問下你嘅意見!唔該曬
龔成老師:
恆基(0012)有質素的,不過增長力比過往減左少少,但長遠仍有投資價值。
至於金沙(1928),現價合理,中短期這股會較弱,始終疫情令佢生意影響,但我地投資股票一定是睇長遠的,因此這股可以長線投資。現價有投資值博率,全注已可以。
但都要同時留有現金,唔好心急用盡資金。
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Q17306:
龔老師你好,本人47歲,從事電梯維修判頭,太太家庭主婦,有2幼稚園小孩。本人因上年中風、所以現時身體影響工作。不能夠長時間開工。本月收入不太穩定。
現租住近女兒學校荃灣市區3房單位,租金$18000。早幾年放售物業約5百萬現金。暫未有上車。
現手持5百萬現金,應該買入那些收息股可用來幫補家庭開支及租金? 謝謝你
龔成老師:
由於你收入唔穩定,加上有一定的家庭負債,投資唔建議進取。持有的$500萬要小心運用。
你最好以「低風險,穩陣,現金流」為資金配置的主軸。你可以將這$500萬,分成5部分。
第一部分投資收息股,你可以建立一個收息股組合,你可考慮港燈(2638)、香港電訊(6823)、匯豐(0005)、工行(1398)、置富(0778)、陽光(0435)、深高速(0548)等,大多有5%股息
你平衡的投資這些股,除了可以得到穩健的收息收,同時可有效的分散風險。
另外,小部分投資盈富(2800)都可以,而收息的ETF,如GX恒生高股息率基金(3110)都可考慮。
第二,投資債券,你可以選擇A評級的債券,年期較長都可以,但利息卻不高。你可以到銀行問問。
第三,投資年金,你可以睇睇,這是適合你們的產品,零風險,可以有穩定回報。
第四,你亦可投資銀行低風險類的產品,你可自行到銀行了解下,總之是「低風險,持續現金流」的。
第五,持有現金,除了可做定期外,現金亦可以為你的後盾,以備不時之選。同時,若投資市場大跌,你可以在這時買到更多的收息股,股息率會進一步上升。
你可以將$500萬資金,平衡地分配在上述的項目上,對你來說是最好平衡風險,同時有穩定的現金流。
如果你能承受到小小風險,就可投資較多平穩增長股,即是銀娛(0027)、恆基(0012)、中銀(2388)、港鐵(0066)、平安(2318)、粵海(0270)、領展(0823)、港交所(0388)、希慎(0014)、太古地產(1972)等,你可以了解下這些股票,然後從中選股。這部分要睇你的家庭情況,以及風險承受能力決定。
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Q17307:
老師你好!我準備24歲,月入$25000,手持現金33萬(先前用來作定期存款)。而今年開始每月月供匯豐股,每月$10000,已供半年,最近亦開始接觸股票。
而我看到老師在fb都建議月供盈富,我是否應改變現時月供匯豐?
另外,現時想開始學習買股票,應如何入手?以及現時有什麼有質素的股推介?謝謝你!
龔成老師:
當我地進行人生財富累積,會運用「先增值,後現金流」作方法,年輕人應投資較多增值類資產,而較年長的,則應投資較多保守類項目,因為年輕人的財富系統未成形,同時負擔較少,可承受的風險度較高,所以會著重增值為先。
例如初期投資較有潛力的股票,令財富較快增值,當增值到一定金額後,可開始將財富分配至平穩增值型股票,然後到年紀漸長或已累積了相當財富後,才漸漸轉成收息型股票。
你這個年齡,是財富增值的黃金時期,要好好把握,盡你一切的力量去儲蓄、投資、學投資知識。
你可以投資「平穩增值股」+「潛力股」,不過,由於潛力股要求你有一定的投資知識,因此這刻不用急著投資,你可以集中在平穩增值股先,潛力股只能小注。
因此,匯豐(0005)以你的年齡來說,並不適合。你應該先投資盈富(2800),月供可以。如果有能力,就加少少其他股,甚至潛力股,但如果選股能力不強,就暫時供盈富先。
另外,以你的年齡,財富仍有一定的增值力,建議你多增加投資知識,在選股、企業估值、投資時機上落功夫,對你長遠財富有好大影響。
現時大市處合理區,可以一邊投資一邊留現金,而餘下現金的運用,就是等大跌市時出手,如果你能在這段時間學好選股等技巧,到大跌市時就能把握機會,財富增值會更明顯。你可以睇《股票勝經》或上堂都得。
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Q17308:
你好,本人29歲,有穩定職業,月薪約四萬,扣除開支後大約可月儲二萬八千,現時大約有儲蓄八十多萬。
請問如想盡早開始投資股票的話,應該選擇那些股票呢?
本人屬於低風險和保守的性格,每月投資股票應佔每月可儲收入多少成呢?謝謝。
龔成老師:
你這個年齡,是財富增值的黃金時期,要好好把握,盡你一切的力量去儲蓄、投資、學投資知識。
你可以投資「平穩增值股」+「潛力股」,不過,由於潛力股要求你有一定的投資知識,加上你是較低風險,因此這刻不用急著投資潛力股。你可以集中在平穩增值股先。
你可以自行分注或月供,每月預算大約投資$15000。
你可以考慮盈富(2800)$8000。
另外再加幾隻(每隻$3000):銀娛(0027)、恆基(0012)、中銀(2388)、港鐵(0066)、平安(2318)、粵海(0270)、領展(0823)、港交所(0388)、希慎(0014)、太古地產(1972)等,你可以了解下這些股票,然後從中選股。
現時大市處合理區,可以一邊投資一邊留現金,而餘下現金的運用,就是等大跌市時出手,如果你能在這段時間學好選股等技巧,到大跌市時就能把握機會,財富增值會更明顯。
至於現時的$80萬,暫時只能動用$20萬,分注投資上述的股都得。
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Q17309:
龔老師,我係投資新手 想打算用15萬去投資收息股 想買中銀香港,長和,中國神華,中移動呢4個 分散投資好定係買晒其中一個好呢?
龔成老師:
分散是較好的,因為你並不是「賭」某一股的表現,而是要建立一個組合,要做好「配置」。
你可以投資中銀香港(2388)、長和(0001)、中移動(0941),都是可投資收息的股。神華(1088)業務有潛在波動,以長遠收息的角度,未必是最適合。
另外,你可以同時考慮香港電訊(6823)、置富(0778),都是不差的收息股。
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Q17310:
想問如何計算便宜的價格去買股票?
龔成老師:
要計企業的價值,過程比較複雜,好難三言兩語就講到,就算在我的股票班,都要講5小時,裡面會講3種估值方法,有難有易,但同學都用到的。
簡單來說,你要考慮企業的生意、盈利、現金流、資產、負債等財務數據,同時要比較行業,考慮這企業的經營情況,之後的環境又會如何。這都是計算的基礎。
如果要深入計算,基本上要好仔細的研究企業,要分析好多財務數據用比率,先至有較完整的答案。
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Q17311:
老師你好,想請問如果我想月收股息15000
我以家30歲每月只可用2000黎供股我又咩都唔識咁我供哂盈富基金先同埋想學投資又冇時間想堂咁淨係靠睇書得嗎老師有咩書可推介比新手睇?
因為我住離島以家有個女又好困身以家暫時都係買電子書睇咩都做唔到。請老師指點迷津
龔成老師:
當我地進行人生財富累積,會運用「先增值,後現金流」作方法,年輕人應投資較多增值類資產,而較年長的,則應投資較多保守類項目,因為年輕人的財富系統未成形,同時負擔較少,可承受的風險度較高,所以會著重增值為先。
例如初期投資較有潛力的股票,令財富較快增值,當增值到一定金額後,可開始將財富分配至平穩增值型股票,然後到年紀漸長或已累積了相當財富後,才漸漸轉成收息型股票。
所以,你這刻應著重「增值」。
其實你這個年齡,仍是財富增值的黃金時期,要好好把握,盡你一切的力量去儲蓄、投資、學投資知識。
你可以投資「平穩增值股」+「潛力股」,不過,由於潛力股要求你有一定的投資知識,因此這刻不用急著投資,你可以集中在平穩增值股先。
你可以先增加知識,可以不斷睇書,《股票勝經》是很好的入門書,你睇完這本再睇其他。
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Q17312:
龔成老師,你好 我係你以前股票班的學生,我睇左你本新書《5年買樓4部曲》,覺得老師你分析得好詳細,好活學活用。
我同我女朋友拍拖6年, 打算兩年內有結婚買樓, 我地兩個加埋月入HKD65k, 暫時有HKD1.7m liquidity cash,用作首期及裝修費。
我地亦問左銀行做初步審批按揭,可以做到9成按揭同買700萬左右的樓。因為我地係初階投資者,prefer 大型屋苑/ 藍籌屋苑,有升值潛力,實用面積大概300-400呎,比較鐘意海景。
由今年4月份開始睇樓, 包括大型藍籌屋苑 e.g. 黃埔花園, 將軍澳新都城, 南豐新村, 德福花園, 淘大花園等等。
睇過咁多屋苑, 我地prefer大角咀港灣豪庭, 港島南區置富花園同將軍澳中心. 三區都算近返工地點(中環/ 鰂魚涌), 同返娘家(西環)都比較分便. 想問龔成老師會點選擇?
以下係本人少少分析, 請老師作出指點:-
大角咀港灣豪庭優點:-
- 樓齡17年, 唔算舊
- 位於大角咀, 鄰近栢景灣, 維港灣, 帝柏海灣等豪宅
- 屋苑樓下有個小型商場
- 部份單位有海景
- 鄰近返工and 娘家 (20-40 分鐘車程)
大角咀港灣豪庭缺點:-
- 位於港鐵奧運站同南昌站中間, 交通不算太方便, 由港鐵站往返港灣豪庭需時行10-15分鐘, 中途全程露天步行
- 鄰近九龍殯儀館
- 要買生活必需品要過旺角/ 奧運
置富花園優點:-
- 景觀開揚,部分會有海景
- 比起市區呎價平
- 未來會受惠於南港島線北段(華富站)
- 鄰近返工and 娘家 (30-45 分鐘車程)
- 校網唔錯
置富花園缺點:-
- 大廈外牆正進行維修, 要額外分期灘還到2022年第一季,入住初期要忍受環境差
- 樓齡41年
- 交通往返其他地區遠, 冇會所
- 華富邨將會重建,會影響將來的海景同重建時會影響將來的居住環境
將軍澳中心優點:-
-樓齡較新 (17年樓齡)
-有會所
-交通方便, 鄰近將軍澳站
-鄰近大型商埸 (i.e. PopCorn), 容易買生活用品
將軍澳中心缺點:-
-人口稠密度高
-返工放工等繁忙時間港鐵超多人
-如果港鐵有任何事故, 出市區比較困難
- 離娘家(西環) 比較遠 (45-60分鐘車程)
- 校網一般
仲有兩條問題想請教老師
Q1: 我地prefer買有升值潛力, 會考慮受惠於南港島綫(西段)的樓盤, 知道老師推介田灣, 但係該區單幢樓比較多同樓齡比較舊, 請問老師有冇推介既樓盤? 如果冇, 置富花園會唔會都係一個唔錯的選擇?
Q2: 根據我地現時睇樓既經驗, 比較好的樓盤通常一個月內賣出, 所以議價空間比較少,賣出價一般都比銀行估價高少少。我地應該等市況靜D再壓價, 但係又擔心等等下樓價又升, 定係貼近銀行估價都可以買樓?
龔成老師:
1)就上述的3個屋苑,置富花園及港灣豪庭較好,始終對你的方便程度較高。
兩者中,港灣豪庭的升值潛力會高D,至於置富花園,由於就算將來起南港島線西段,相信都唔會經過置富,只會行下面的華富。
但如果只考慮方便你自己的程度,可能置富又會好少少。
中短期維係問題唔好太在意,最重要是睇長期。
另外,你可以睇下黃竹坑的金寶花園,雖然不是大型屋苑,但近黃竹坑地鐵站,加上將來隔離會有商場,生活配套會慢慢齊。不過呎價都唔算平,但你可以睇睇。
2)如果你可以等得,最好是耐心少少,但你要睇多D盤,要有心理準備有D盤會無左,但有耐性是較易買到好野的。
但現時樓市唔跌,的確較難買到平野,所以只要你認為合理價,有得平少少,都可以考慮。
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Q17313:
老師你好,本人買股票已有十多年,不過都係蝕嘅多。
目前的組合也不樂觀,所以想請教你怎樣處理現時的股票。
年初時好不容易才等到2899紫金礦業返到家鄉,放出後以83蚊買入1000股823領展,目前仍持有中,該長線持有嗎?
另外還有以下股票:
9988阿里巴巴 100股,買入價176
3323中國建材 10000股,買入價12.7
1618中國中治 10000股,買入價4.97
1333中國忠旺 25200股,買入價5.85
想問下以上除9988外、其他點處理好、該止蝕轉換成其他股票嗎?謝謝!
龔成老師:
阿里(9988)可以長線。至於領展(0823),有質素的,可以守。
至於另外的3隻,質素與增長力都不算好高,雖然不是劣質,但持有的價值不是好高類別。
中國建材(3323)如貨不多,可守,但預佢增長力唔強。中國中冶(1618)長遠應該賣出。中國忠旺(1333)長遠都應該賣出,但由於不是零質素,因此唔一定要立刻賣,可以等上翻D先。
長遠來說,你應該轉換成更優質、更高增長力的組合。
你有三大問題。第一,選股能力不強,你要考慮企業在行業裡的優勢,以及長遠行業的發展力,唔好只著重當刻的情況。
第二,太過著重買入價,其實你應該著重資產質素,要建立平衡與優質的組合。
第三,無用平均的買入方法,除非你掌握到企業估值,否則,以平均入市的模式進行,這樣能有效減少買入價的風險。
------------------------------------------------
Q17314:
老師,我從上年八月開始買入領展的月供股票,現在佢既市盈率係負數,咁我應唔應該繼續供落去呢?謝謝老師
龔成老師:
我地投資股票,就是買入企業,唔好太著重中短期因素,要睇長遠的企業質素與發展。
領展(0823)有質素的,中短期香港地產市道當然較一般,但長遠仍是正面,增長力或者不及過往年代,但要平穩增長及收息是無問題。
佢市盈率出現負數只是因為物業重估因素,這只是一些會計上的數字,對業務無影響的。
另外,月供股票一定要長線進行,唔好中間轉來轉去。
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Q17315:
老師,本人47歲、3年前買咗樓平租比自己人、租同供等同!
我買咗收息股3、6、405、435、778、1038、2388、6823、大約共160萬、現金淨40萬!
月可儲$10000
請問老師覺得我仲有咩安排會比較好呢!
謝謝老師提點
龔成老師:
你持有的,都是有質素的股票,雖然增長力不算強,但以你的年齡情況,其實無問題,配置基本適合。
你現時有物業,同時股票都佔財富一部分,基本上能做到股樓平衡,配置不差。
現金$40萬,以現時的大市平貴情況,都算可以,但暫時唔好再動用這$40萬,除非出現大型跌市,否則作備用及等機會之用。
至於月供可儲$1萬,你可以投資平穩增長股,分注或月供都得,例如盈富(2800),如果你可以承受到風險,就可以將其中$3000供一些潛力股,因為你的組合現時並無潛力股。
------------------------------------------------
Q17316:
成老師!1876 怎樣看 ?
龔成老師:
百威亞太(1876)以質素來說,的確不差,佢係百威亞太控股為AB InBev Group的一部分,係亞太地區最大的啤酒公司。
佢從事生產、進口、推廣、經銷及出售超過50個自家擁有或獲許可使用的啤酒品牌組合,包括百威、時代及科羅娜,以及旗下多國品牌和當地品牌,如福佳、凱獅及哈爾濱。
佢係多個國家都有相當的市佔率,同時增長力強,就近年的數據睇,盈利每年都有雙位數增長,業務、品牌、質素絕對有。
過往股往少少貴,現時合理翻D,你預現時是合理區中上部,分注投資,長線持有都可以。
------------------------------------------------
Q17317:
龔成老師你好,我一直有留意龔成信箱,希望可以為自己制訂一套良好的投資組合,包括美股、港股、RIET、債券等,但過去5年覺得投資上走彎路,錯誤的港股投資及炒股導致數十萬損失。
因此在此希望請教一下龔成老師,以制訂一個健康的投資組合並盡快達到財務自由。以下為本人的基本資料:
今年29歲,從事穩定行業,月入約5萬,每月可儲2-3萬。另每年公司Bonus約20萬。主要資產如下:
1. 一香港物業出租,價格1000萬,做400萬按揭,每月供款約15000,租金收入24200,將來用作自住用途:
2. 香港股票50萬:包括中國石油化工股份(13%)、中國鐵塔(5%)、建設銀行(37%)、石四藥集團(8%)、藥明生物(15%)、長實集團(9%)、中銀香港(10%)、京東集團(2%)
*本人認為太集中在金融股、想調整組合加大中國鐵塔投資組合份額降低平均成本(原買入價2.13)及另外再買入吉利等增長股;
3. 美股約HKD15萬: 包括Beyond Meat、Zoom、波音等;
4. MPF17萬,另外每月額外自願供款1000
5. 現金約30萬
目標希望在40歲前每月產生4萬元現金流,現在正考慮在投資組合中加入星加坡及日本RIET,以及未來到英國置業、請問可以做到嗎?
龔成老師:
首先,你有「建立財富組合,做好配置」這是正確方向,持有優質資產長線是大前題。
不過,你這年齡,可以進取翻少少。
當我地進行人生財富累積,會運用「先增值,後現金流」作方法,年輕人應投資較多增值類資產,而較年長的,則應投資較多保守類項目,因為年輕人的財富系統未成形,同時負擔較少,可承受的風險度較高,所以會著重增值為先。
例如初期投資較有潛力的股票,令財富較快增值,當增值到一定金額後,可開始將財富分配至平穩增值型股票,然後到年紀漸長或已累積了相當財富後,才漸漸轉成收息型股票。
你這個年齡,是財富增值的黃金時期,要好好把握,盡你一切的力量去儲蓄、投資、學投資知識。
你應該在40歲前,著重增值,到40歲,轉為現金流類別。
你可以投資「平穩增值股」+「潛力股」,不過,由於潛力股要求你有一定的投資知識,因此這刻不用急著投資,你可以集中在平穩增值股先,潛力股只能小注。
因此,建行(0939)、中石化(0386),以你的年齡來說,並不適合。
你可以加大少少吉利(0175)及中國鐵塔(0778),長線持有。
至於外國的房託,只要有質素的都可考慮,但要留意不少房託都以收息為主,增長力不強,而你這刻應加強增長力。
------------------------------------------------
Q17318:
老師你好,我同先生每個月可以儲10000,有樓,年紀32歲,流動資金50000,請教我地怎樣投資可以做到財務自由
龔成老師:
你地的現金唔算多,建議$5萬唔好動用,除非大市有大型下跌。
至於你每月$1萬,暫時可以將一半投資,你可以月供股票或自行分注投資。
你這個年齡,是財富增值的黃金時期,要好好把握,盡你一切的力量去儲蓄、投資、學投資知識。
你可以投資「平穩增值股」+「潛力股」,不過,由於潛力股要求你有一定的投資知識,因此這刻不用急著投資,你可以集中在平穩增值股先。做月供股票,每月$5000
。
你可以考慮盈富(2800)$2000。
另外再加1、2隻(每隻$1500):銀娛(0027)、恆基(0012)、中銀(2388)、港鐵(0066)、平安(2318)、粵海(0270)、領展(0823)、港交所(0388)、希慎(0014)、太古地產(1972)等,你可以了解下這些股票,然後從中選股。
如果你不懂股,就集中供盈富$5000。
現時大市處合理區,可以一邊投資一邊留現金,而餘下現金的運用,就是等大跌市時出手,如果你能在這段時間學好選股等技巧,到大跌市時就能把握機會,財富增值會更明顯。
------------------------------------------------
Q17319:
龔sir,感謝你。
又一年過去,眨下眼我26歲了。我已完成了第一個一百萬。
感激遇到你令我對財務策劃上有更多既認識令我對自己有要求有目標,雖然還未稱得上熟悉股票市場,但我仍然會保持學習的心 堅持每月供股為我的未來努力。
下年目標希望能購入一層800萬以下的自住單位。
希望我會成功
龔成老師:
加油!你已行在正確的路。
理財是長期戰,你要保持進行,方向已正確,保持努力就得。提高自己的投資知識,以及不斷儲錢。希望你能成功置業。
由於你打算在1年裡買樓,因此宜持有較多現金。
------------------------------------------------
Q17320:
老師,目前我23歲
月供2800中。
想問月供美股可考慮嗎?
有邊隻可以選擇?
我上網留意 美股可一股買賣 只需幾百元,對嗎?
龔成老師:
唔好因為入場費低而強行投資某一股。
最重要是這股有質素及長遠發展正面。
美股你可投資,只要當中是優質股,以及你熟識就得,你這年齡,可以投資增長力較高的股票,盈富(2800)可保持月供,至於美股,你可留意一下科技類的,例如GOOGLE等。
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若你有問題想向本人發問,可在龔成的fb專頁中(www.facebook.com/80shing)inbox龔成,但要注意如無特別聲明,有可能將問答放上網,當然,會將發問者的身份,以及有關個人資料的部分刪去。
另外,我所給予的各種意見,只是供大家參考,當中無任何銷售及推介,不涉及任何利益,其實大家應該要有獨立分析的能力,我只是給予一些方向及純參考模式。
由於提問人數眾多,見諒無法即日回覆,如果是普通的提問,預起碼要7天以上才能回覆,若然是較複雜的提問,起碼要10天才能回覆,希望各位能諒解。
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記得因為古仔單嘢,有好多對球會批評嘅聲音同不利嘅傳聞,令到球會上下都好大壓力。報導入面有句咁講:「高普其中一樣天賦就係對人嘅信任」,作為球迷,我會學習高普,選擇相信,無論係邊一個崗位,大家都要團結一致,支持利物浦再創新高峰。
https://www.facebook.com/groups/OLSCHKSAR/permalink/10156466140299828/
最近有篇超長文講高普,唔想睇英文又唔想Google Translate?冇問題,今次有母語翻譯!每句英粵對照,唔想睇英文嘅就Skip嚟睇啦
警告:內含粗口,對粗口過敏者請按"上一頁"
[母語翻譯]
From Hong Kong to Kiev:
At the end of the storm,
there's a golden sky...
由香港到基輔:
暴雨過後 總有晴天
The inside story of how Jurgen Klopp
weathered the worst to lead Liverpool
into the Champions League final
究竟高普點樣帶住利物浦捱過風浪殺入歐聯決賽
By Melissa Reddy
"And now, we will go to Kiev. It sounds crazy, but it's true."
“我哋嚟緊就去基輔。聽起嚟痴撚線,但係真㗎。“
The downpours, pelting over Kowloon as though they were bullets from above, had finally subsided. For Liverpool, however, this was the inception of the storm.
嚟香港踢波先落狗屎,唔同連個天都唔鍾意我。但原來對利物浦嚟講,果日只係惡夢嘅開始。
Before the sun could fully crack through the scattered clouds that Friday morning in Hong Kong last July 21st, Jurgen Klopp’s phone screen was crowded with notifications from sporting director, Michael Edwards, and Fenway Sports Group president, Mike Gordon.
舊年7月21號,打鑼咁早,身在香港嘅高普部電話已經畀體育總監Michael Edwards同FSG總裁Mike Gordon嘅message震爆咗。
The news being broken to the manager - the club had instantly rejected a £72 million bid from Barcelona for Philippe Coutinho - was yesterday’s back-page buffet in the United Kingdom courtesy of the seven-hour time difference.
喺高普同隊波仲瞓緊覺果時,球會已經拒絕咗巴塞羅拿對古天奴7200萬鎊嘅開價。
Klopp’s designs for the pre-season tour had already been scaled back due to monsoon conditions that prompted cancelled training sessions and improvised workouts.
高普嘅季前熱身計劃本身已經畀香港嘅天氣打亂咗,原有嘅訓練只可以改為體能訓練。
It was this development, though, which had the potential to cyclone through their preparations for 2017-18.
但呢鑊就真係堅,隨時將成季嘅部署打亂晒。
Liverpool could not have been more unambiguous in their response to the offer: there would be no summer sale, regardless of how much the fee shot up.
利物浦嘅官方回應好堅定:無論幾多錢,今個夏天都唔會賣。
Undisguised, too, was the fact La Liga’s giants would return armed with a traditional media offensive that would pack more of a punch than their improved proposals.
而另一方面,更加肯定嘅係,呢支西甲班霸唔會就咁放棄,佢哋媒體喉舌嘅攻勢比起佢哋嘅叫價更加凌厲。
The only variable surrounded the focal point. What was Coutinho, who had signed a new five-year deal without a release clause that January, thinking?
唯一唔肯定嘅係,究竟啱啱喺1月簽咗5年約嘅古天奴點諗呢?
As Klopp entered the private assembly room for breakfast at the palatial Ritz-Carlton, the answer immediately presented itself. The 25-year-old, inner turmoil tinting his facial features, was on edge with “an instant difference in his body language,” according to observers.
當高普行入香港Ritz-Carlton酒店準備畀球隊食早餐果間房嘅時候,即刻明晒。古天奴嘅面部表情同身體語言都話畀大家知,佢心入面十五十六。
So this was a problem. Klopp walked over to Coutinho to schedule a talk for that evening, when they had an honest and respectful exchange.
呢個係一個問題。高普同古天奴講,約定傍晚攤牌講清楚。
Liverpool could not simply delete their plans for the season on account of Barcelona being unprepared for the loss of Neymar to Paris Saint-Germain, the Reds boss explained.
高普話,巴塞羅拿戇鳩鳩畀尼馬走咗去巴黎聖日耳門,唔代表利物浦就要跟住一齊柒㗎嘛。
It was a point he circled back to, while also emphasising that the timing was wrong, as was the message it would send about the club.
高普不停重複呢一點,佢仲提到, 呢刻賣人時機錯晒,而且外界會點樣睇利物浦呢?
Coutinho understood that, but highlighted the sacrifices his wife, Aine, and parents had made for his career. The future revolved around them as much as it did his own ambitions.
古天奴好明白,但佢提到佢老婆Aine同埋佢父母已經為佢嘅職業犧牲好多。諗將來嘅時候佢除咗考慮自己嘅目標,亦都要考慮屋企人。
He was happy at Liverpool, he loved the club, he was full of gratitude… But this was Barcelona. And beyond that, it represented a lifestyle change for his family, who could function within a culture so much closer to their own.
佢喺利物浦好開心。佢好鍾意隊波,亦都心存感激。但係,果隊係巴塞喎。除此之外,轉會仲代表生活上重大嘅轉變,搬去果邊嘅文化會更加適合佢屋企。
Klopp acknowledged Coutinho’s thought process, but repeated that it was about Liverpool and this was not the right thing for the club, for his teammates, or for their season ambitions.
高普好明白古天奴嘅思路,但佢再次強調,呢個係利物浦嘅問題,呢個對隊波唔係好事,對班波同對佢哋今季嘅大計都唔係好事。
The message was reinforced privately by Edwards and the ownership before a public declaration.
喺發出官方聲明之前,Edwards同老闆都分別私底下向古天奴重申呢幾點。
/“We wish to offer clarity as regards our position on a possible transfer of Philippe Coutinho,” read a statement on the club’s official website on August 11 2017, which highlighted their “definitive stance is that no offers for Philippe will be considered and he will remain a member of Liverpool FC when the summer window closes.”
“我們特此重申有關古天奴轉會一事之立場” 球會於2017年8月11日發出官方聲明“任何對古天奴的開價均不會被考慮,他於夏季轉會窗關閉時將繼續是利物浦的一員”/
Through the clinking glasses and guffaws, there is thick blend of relief and defiance daubing the atmosphere in the Freshfield area of Formby.
利物浦附近嘅一個小鎮 Formby 充斥住杯碟聲同埋歡笑聲。
It is Saturday, January 6 2018, where a long-scheduled New Year’s celebration for Liverpool’s staff at the Klopp residence has coincided with the £142m sale of Coutinho to Barcelona.
今年1月6號星期六,成班利物浦嘅職球員喺高普屋企開緊Party。無獨有偶,球會啱啱公佈古天奴將會以1億4200萬鎊身價加盟巴塞。
The news had been released shortly before the flow of Monkey 47 gin and a catalogue of German lager at the gathering, with the message following the announcement on the club’s official website entirely scripted by the manager.
呢個消息都係喺佢地呢個不醉無歸嘅聚會之前無耐公佈,而呢篇球會嘅官方聲明其實係出自高普手筆。
/“Players will come and players will go, that is football, but as a club we are big enough and strong enough to continue with our aggressive progression on the pitch, even when we lose an important player. We have never been in a better position in recent times, as a club, to react in the right way. We will use our size and strength to absorb moments like this and still move forward.”
“有出先有入,足球係咁㗎啦。但我哋作為一間球會,即使無咗一個重要嘅球員,都應該夠堅強喺球場上繼續拼搏。我哋而家處於近年嚟最好嘅時間去應對呢個轉變,我哋應該夠強大去適應然後繼續向前。”/
That night, as the spine of the football staff and their partners made his home their own, Klopp may as well have had the words inked on his appearance.
果晚,當球員帶埋佢地嘅另一半去到高普屋企嘅時候,大家都睇得出高普嘅心情寫晒喺塊面度。
The party, defined as “symbolic” and “powerful” had an element of toasting to Coutinho’s contribution at Liverpool, but at the same time, there was a sense of middle fingers flying in the direction of the doom decorating his departure.
有人事後形容果晚嘅派對好有象徵意義同力量。個Party其實亦都係為咗感謝古天奴對球隊嘅貢獻,但同時似乎大家都對佢嘅離開暗地裡媽聲四起。
Whatever followed, those present felt they were in this together. They believed in each other, in the roster, that the addition of Virgil van Dijk would make Liverpool stronger, that there was more than enough snarl as a collective to continue on an upward trajectory.
無論如何,出席嘅球員都感覺到大家喺同一條船。佢哋相信大家,而且相信雲迪克加盟之後隊波會更加強大,越踢越好。
That Klopp, above all, subscribed so religiously to this thinking translated into others sharing his conviction.
而高普就不斷將呢個信念向成班波洗腦。
Liverpool would not just be fine, Liverpool would be fucking flying.
利物浦唔只會掂,仲要係好撚掂。
Klopp was a portrait of confidence and composure, but the previous five months had been stressful for the former Borussia Dortmund trainer.
高普一直係自信同冷靜嘅化身。但過去5個月,呢位前多蒙特嘅領隊承受住好大壓力。
It went against his entire nature, heavily built around empathy, to see a player so sewn in distress. He treasured Coutinho professionally as well as personally and agonised over what the saga was doing to the Brazil international.
呢個同佢嘅天性相反。佢對古天奴受嘅巨大壓力充滿住同情,而且佢喺個人同足球層面都好欣賞古天奴,對於佢喺呢場轉會風波入面所受嘅折磨亦感同身受。
Klopp imagined what it was like for him at home. He was torn by the impact it was potentially having on his wife and young daughter.
高普曾經想像如果係佢自己,佢老婆同咁細個嘅女所受嘅影響,佢感到更加痛苦。
The manager knew how he'd feel if one of his own kids were going through that situation, or if his partner was being affected by it.
佢好明白如果係佢嘅仔女面對咁嘅情況,或者係佢老婆受到嘅影響會係幾咁大。
Part of Klopp’s weaponry is sagacity, drilling deep to appreciate what drives those that line up under him or work alongside him.
高普其中一個強項就係佢嘅睿智。佢識得深入了解幫佢做嘢嘅人,佢哋嘅動力來源係乜嘢。
That he knew Coutinho, who is quite sensitive and counts his family as his axis, was cheerless made him so too.
而佢知道,古天奴係一個多愁善感嘅人。佢嘅屋企人就係佢嘅世界,而呢點亦係點解佢咁唔開心。
The 50-year-old is often cast as the centrepiece, revelling in attention. He is charismatic, and so is more than comfortable getting on the dance floor or grabbing the mic to create a rhapsodic environment.
呢位50歲嘅教頭經常都成為大家嘅焦點。佢好有魅力,而且好擅長製造開心熱鬧嘅環境氣氛。
But those who know him best insist Klopp is happiest sitting off and shining the spotlight on the ones he cares about having a good time.
但熟悉佢嘅人會知道,其實佢最鍾意嘅係坐埋一邊,睇住佢珍重嘅人做返主角接受群眾嘅目光。
He loves witnessing the initiation tradition of a player singing a song in front of all his teammates.
佢好鍾意一個傳統,就係叫一個球員喺隊友面前唱歌。
He adores the environment the squad have carved between themselves and the way they have married the serious (a strict fine system) with the humorous - Dejan Lovren’s ‘gaffer’ social media undressing stands out after he revealed his Champions League half-time rallying call at Manchester City.
佢好喜歡球隊嘅氣氛,可以將嚴肅(嚴格嘅罰款制度)同幽默結合,例如路夫蘭就喺社交媒體同球迷分享佢喺對曼城果場波半場休息嘅時候做更衣室大佬嘅事。
Klopp can also spend hours on YouTube watching videos of joyous supporters and has noted multiple times this season that watching the crowd develop and truly connect with the team has been special.
高普亦都好鍾意上YouTube睇球迷嘅片。佢多次提到睇住球迷真正同球隊連結埋一齊嘅感覺好特別。
So to view the opposite - to see sadness plague Coutinho - was piercing.
相反,睇住古天奴所受嘅折磨,亦令高普無比痛苦。
As such, if the decision was solely Klopp’s to make, the No.10’s switch to Spain would have been sanctioned before the start of 2017-18.
正因為咁,如果畀高普話晒事,佢開季前就會將古天奴賣去西班牙。
Never thinking he is always right, and knowing what he personally felt was trivial when juxtaposed with the full picture, the German supported the reasoning of Edwards, Gordon and the ownership in general.
高普唔係一個覺得自覺永遠啱嘅人。佢知道自己嘅感覺都係好表面嘅,當佢將成個大局擺喺眼前,佢都同意Edwards,Gordon同老闆嘅諗法。
It did not make sense then, that when the only route available for Coutinho to secure an exit was to go antagonist, his camp targeted the manager in their press onslaught, which only hardened FSG’s stance.
離奇嘅係,當時古天奴一方要離隊嘅唯一可能性就只能夠擺爛個款,而佢哋嘅陣營竟然以高普作為攻擊對象,咁樣結果只係加強咗FSG唔賣嘅決心。
Klopp hid it well, but the falsehoods over his relationship with Liverpool’s “genius,” plus the player’s manufactured unhappiness at the club did hurt - especially as he continued to publicly fight his corner.
雖然高普無表現出嚟,但果啲關於佢同古天奴關係惡劣嘅流言同埋古天奴為球隊帶嚟嘅唔開心,的確係傷害咗高普,特別係高普仲要出嚟喺公眾面前辯護。
Coutinho’s performances post the saga, especially on the continent, may have been seen as a fait accompli, but to get him to feature in the Champions League at all was an achievement.
古天奴喺呢次事件後嘅表現,尤其喺歐聯賽場,有目共睹。但派佢喺歐聯出場呢件事本身就已經唔簡單。
When it became apparent there was absolutely no twisting of Liverpool’s arm, the threat of not representing the club in Europe was still strongly being advocated by his advisors.
當知道利物浦嘅立場非常堅定之後,古天奴嘅軍師就極力主張古天奴拒絕喺歐聯上陣。
Gordon and Edwards toiled to surgically remove that and Klopp began reintegrating Coutinho, a process made simpler by his protection of the wantaway star.
Gordon同Edwards好辛苦咁解決咗呢個問題,高普亦重新將古天奴擺返入球隊嘅戰術體制入面,而高普千方百計咁喺公眾面前保護古天奴亦都令呢件事更加容易。
Despite the heckling and suspicious inverted commas each time the ‘back injury’ that sidelined the midfielder in August was mentioned, Klopp never deviated from his line - even when the issue was “only emotional” according to Brazil’s doctor during an international break.
雖然8月嘅時候,古天奴因“背傷”的確惹嚟唔少懷疑,即使巴西軍醫都話佢嘅背傷只係情緒問題,但高普始終如一支持球員。
Squad harmony and ensuring there were no further hiccups to the start of the season was paramount for Klopp - he did not mind being the subject of ridicule, which drew mass respect from the dressing room.
球隊嘅和諧對高普嚟講最為重要。佢唔介意成為事情嘅主角,咁就可以令傳媒嘅焦點離開更衣室。
10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1…
Happy New Year!
新年快樂!
2018 had only just ticked in, but it entered with the same complexity and concern Liverpool had enjoyed a temporary break from.
2018年啱啱開始,同時標誌住呢個困擾住利物浦嘅問題喺短暫嘅休息之後又再出現。
Barcelona were not so much knocking on the door as they were smashing through it. Coutinho’s desire to leave had not diminished despite his excellence behind a supreme frontline and the club preparing for their first Champions League knockout fixture since 2009.
巴塞羅拿今次唔只係敲門,可以講係撞門。雖然古天奴上半季留喺利物浦表現出色,而球隊亦自2009年以嚟第一次打入歐聯淘汰賽,但佢離隊嘅慾望並無消失。
Liverpool did not want a repeat of the upheaval of the summer, but conversely, neither did they want to cede the Brazilian during such a positive juncture.
利物浦唔想重演上個夏天嘅劇情,但另一方面亦唔想喺呢個重要關頭失去古天奴。
Against the tide, they attempted to persuade him to stay until the end of the season on very lucrative terms - a deal now effective later. However, there was no budging from Barca’s end nor his: Coutinho had been on Merseyside for five years and he was adamant: it was time to say goodbye.
利物浦嘗試挽留古天奴,以先簽約後離隊嘅方式留到季尾。但無論巴塞定係古天奴都寸步不讓:佢已經喺度踢咗5年,佢非常堅決係時候離隊。
As the days ticked on and the eventuality of a sale became more pronounced, Gordon was hugely concerned that the uplifting tone around the club would morph into one of unrest. He was insistent that any abuse should be funnelled towards him and the ownership, shielding Klopp and the squad from toxicity.
當轉會勢在必行,Gordon非常擔心咁樣會為一切都穩步上揚嘅球隊帶嚟負面影響。佢堅持所有外界嘅責難都應該由佢同董事會承擔,高普同球員唔應該受到牽連。
Through this period, though, there was no calmer person at Melwood than the manager and there was no way he wouldn’t front up.
喺呢段期間,成個Melwood無人比高普更加冷靜,亦都無人可以阻止佢對住傳媒頂硬上。
Klopp demanded that everyone relax, that this was just a football transfer, and so they should treat it as such and nothing more.
高普要求所有球員保持放鬆,呢單只係普通嘅足球轉會,大家唔需要諗太多,
If Liverpool did not want any drama around it, then it was imperative that they did not create a spectacle themselves.
如果利物浦唔想事情繼續發酵,佢哋首先就要唔好自己製造新嘅話題。
It was a transaction, not a tombstone for the Reds’ season.
呢單只係一單普通嘅交易,隊波嘅球季仲未完嘅。
The most significant factor was how the squad would react to the development. The Magician was loved by his peers, but additionally, there had been an episode that played on Klopp’s mind.
最重要嘅係隊波點樣面對呢個轉變。隊友都好鍾意古天奴,而有件事喺高普心入面揮之不去。
One August afternoon, a desperate Coutinho approached the senior players’ committee and pencilled in a talk in one of the meeting rooms on Melwood’s ground tier.
早喺8月嘅時候,有一日古天奴喺Melwood一間會議室入面同球隊嘅“一隊球員委員會”開會。
He appealed to them to change the club’s mind, and while he knew the squad wanted him to stay, he also figured fellow professionals would recognise why he felt this was a ‘dream step’ that was critical to take.
佢希望球會可以改變決定。佢知道球隊希望佢留低,但佢亦深信隊友會明白佢為夢想而行嘅呢一步。
For all the chicanery that occurred during the summer window, it was the folding of his teammates into the fuss that most annoyed Klopp.
而最令高普擔憂嘅係其他隊友焦急嘅心情。
So when the deal was done and Coutinho was off, the manager rounded up the full group in the dressing room at the training complex and delivered an incisive address.
當轉會已成定局,高普召集所有球員,喺訓練場嘅更衣室向佢哋訓話。
The message was that they'd lost a great player and a friend, but it was no more than that. He told them to not give anyone on the outside a chance to say that Phil going has affected their season.
高普最主要嘅訊息係,佢哋係喪失咗一個好球員,但亦只係少咗一個好球員咁大把。最重要嘅係唔好畀外面嘅人有任何機會話古天奴嘅離開影響咗我哋嘅球季。
Klopp mentioned that the scrutiny would increase, but he didn't believe it would hamper Liverpool in a negative way. It was important for the team to believe the same, because if they allowed his exit to be an excuse, Liverpool were weak.
高普話佢相信出面嘅批評會越嚟越多,但佢唔覺得球隊會受到任何負面影響。隊波一定要有呢個信念,呢樣係好重要,否則如果球隊畀呢樣嘢成為藉口,咁利物浦就太軟弱。
He reminded his players they could decide whether people said their collective genius had walked out the door with Coutinho.
高普提醒球員,佢哋有能力話畀全世界知道,佢哋加埋嘅力量係咪都畀古天奴一個拎走晒。
/"This is us. On we go."
丟那媽 頂硬上/
Liverpool had anticipated a thunderstorm, and when the whistle for the interval went at the Etihad, they were relieved for the respite from Manchester City’s electric onslaught.
利物浦預咗場波會好難踢,而當半場嘅哨子聲響起嘅時候,佢哋即刻鬆一口氣,可以暫時忘記曼城喺主場瘋狂嘅攻勢。
The scoreline was only 1-0 to Pep Guardiola’s men on the night, and still 3-1 to the visitors on aggregate in the Champions League quarter-finals, but those first 45 minutes were punishing.
比數只係1-0,對於作客嘅利物浦嚟講兩回合計仲係領先緊3-1。但呢45分鐘嘅歐聯八強可以話係一種折磨。
Klopp’s half-time routine is consistent home and away. He speeds from the touchline to the dressing room, takes off his jacket and convenes with assistant coach Peter Krawietz, who has selected crucial in-match clips along with analysts Harrison Kingston and Mark Leyland.
高普每次嘅半場休息都係一樣,主場同作客都係。佢會由球場跑入更衣室,除咗件外套,集合埋已經剪好咗上半場精華嘅助教Peter Krawietz,同埋兩位分析員,Harrison Kingston 同 Mark Leyland。
The footage they slice is never usually of a goal being conceded or scored, but examples of how to avoid the former or ensure the latter by highlighting the positioning of the defensive line or where the best offensive spaces are.
佢哋揀嘅片通常都唔係重溫失波或者入波,而係講解防線嘅企位點樣防止失波,同埋點樣利用進攻嘅空位爭取入波。
At City, there was a deviation. Lovren had been shouting, telling the team to ‘wake up,’ that they weren’t showing enough belief and were allowing Kevin De Bruyne and co to do as they please.
而今次嚟到曼城,情況有啲唔同。路夫蘭大聲喝醒班隊友,話佢哋信心唔夠同埋畀迪布尼太多空位。
Klopp pounced on this as the perfect opening for his own message and so he broke away from his normal process, allowing the centre-back to speak for just under a minute before then commanding the room.
高普覺得呢個會係一個好好嘅開場白,所以佢畀咗大概1分鐘路夫蘭講佢要講嘅嘢。
He started by agreeing with the Croatian, before pointing at Lovren and Van Dijk, saying they were killing the team by being too deep.
之後輪到高普,佢首先同意路夫蘭嘅講法,然後就話路夫蘭同雲迪克逗得太深,令場波好難踢。
He then calmly got his crucial information over: get higher, condense the pitch and stop City playing the passes that feed their strengths.
然後佢好冷靜咁指示球員:逗前啲,企密啲,唔好畀曼城咁多空位做波。
In possession, relax, orientate yourselves better and speed it up. He pointed out spaces available to break City’s press, helping Liverpool retain the ball and thwart the hosts’ constant flow of attacks.
控球果時保持冷靜,轉身然後加速。善用進攻空位突破曼城嘅迫搶,亦都可以減慢曼城嘅進攻。
Klopp then highlighted Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain’s chance at the end of the first half as the memory that would be playing on loop in the home dressing room.
佢特別提到張伯倫臨完半場前嘅一次機會。
He stressed that City had just seen what Liverpool were capable of and it would be terrifying them as all it would've taken was one successful attack to scorch Guardiola's charges.
佢話呢球畀曼城睇到利物浦嘅實力,而佢哋先應該係驚果一隊,因為我哋一次成功嘅進攻佢哋就玩完。
There was an element of 'so what the fuck are we doing still sitting here?' as he ordered them to go out and get back on the front foot.
“咁仲坐喺度做乜鳩吖”高普就趕咗隊波出球場準備。
While City were engulfed by the emotion of the occasion with Guardiola getting sent off at half-time, Liverpool used the break to reorganise.
當曼城仍然因為哥迪奧拿半場被趕離場而激動,利物浦就借呢個時候重整旗鼓。
Klopp’s ability to cut through everything and communicate concisely was visible through the first passage of play in which his side strung five to six consecutive passes together.
高普講解戰術嘅能力可以由利物浦下半場第一個攻勢連續五六下靚傳就睇到。
It culminated in Mohamed Salah’s opener on 56 minutes that effectively ended the tie, after Gini Wijnaldum fed Oxlade-Chamberlain.
利物浦好快就得到回報。56分鐘,韋拿度姆傳畀張伯倫,最後由沙拿射入,賽事就基本上大局已定。
The England international dissected City to supply the Egyptian, who along with Sadio Mane had worked to isolate and unsettle Aymeric Laporte, Fernandinho and Nicolas Otamendi as per instruction.
張伯倫劏穿咗曼城嘅防線,畀沙拿配合文尼,根據高普嘅指示搞掂咗拿撲迪,費蘭甸奴同奧達文迪。
Klopp is forever examined through his magnetism, but not his methods. People see the cool as fuck figure with his unkept stubble in a hoody and trainers, but not the tactical nerd obsessed with preparation and details.
高普最吸引人嘅係佢嘅魅力而唔係佢嘅教波或者戰術。大家睇到嘅高普都係著住運動衫同埋有一頭混亂嘅短髮,同果啲執著於準備戰術部署嘅大師風格完全唔同。
The storyline is dictated by the hugs, fist pumps and rantings, but should be about the composed leader, who is able to read the room and never ducks a big call.
完場嘅一刻充滿住擁抱,碰拳同埋咆哮。但係唔能夠遺忘嘅係呢位永不退縮嘅領袖。
Liverpool need only a point to secure Champions League football heading into the final top-flight game of the season against Brighton? Ok then, he'll just pick four attackers.
利物浦只需要喺白禮頓身上拎到1分就足夠確保下季歐聯參賽資格?無問題,出四個前鋒囉。
There is a misconception too that Klopp’s management is punctuated by Hollywood moments, that ‘Any Given Sunday’ type zingers are delivered on a daily.
大家都有個誤會,就係喺高普嘅領導之下,呢啲本應喺荷李活先出現嘅誇張劇情好似每日都會上演。
To this point, Andy Robertson and Oxlade-Chamberlain are often asked “what did Klopp say to you when things weren’t going well at the start of your Liverpool career?”
就住呢點,羅拔臣同張伯倫都曾經分別被問到“高普喺你哋啱啱加盟,表現唔係咁好嘅時候,同你哋講過啲咩?”
There is no cinematographic answer as there were no elaborate meetings or ground-shifting discussions.
無任何驚喜嘅答案,因為根本就無任何特別嘅對話或者照肺。
He told them to continue as they were, put in the work, and the time would come, things would align.
高普只係叫佢哋繼續努力,時機會嚟到,所有嘢就會好順利。
Klopp believes there is no point ballooning something beyond what it actually is, and that often, the best decision to take is none at all.
高普覺得,有時一動不如一靜。
He figures having ‘the talk’ can be self-indulgent and self-serving at times. If there is no certain benefit to a player, what exactly is the point?
佢覺得有時呢啲所謂對話,即係照肺,根本幫唔到球員,晒氣。
And if there is no massive issue, with the criticism existing externally, why should Klopp feed the notion that there is a problem by formally addressing it?
如果根本就無乜問題,只係外界係度亂咁批評,咁何必太認真看待?
Take Mane for example, who was slightly off colour for a period, snatching a little too much and overthinking every action.
以文尼為例,佢有段時間的確係失色咗啲,獨食咗啲,有啲決定慢咗啲。
In general, though, the speedster was still a threat, still being decisive and still ensuring that the front three functioned exceptionally while adding to his defensive duties.
但整體嚟講,佢仍然係前場一個威脅,仍然係決定性嘅,加上佢喺防守嘅貢獻,確保三把尖刀可以各自發揮作用。
There was never a big sit down with the Senegal international, simply a brief sort of ‘What’s up? Stop beating yourself up about any mistakes, I am very happy with you.’
高普從來都無坐低同文尼傾過啲咩問題,最多都只係“喂,唔使咁躁,你踢得好吖我好滿意。”
Mane found his own way through his stifled spell, aided by a sprinkling of encouragement rather than a lengthy tactical dissection.
文尼最後都走出低潮,靠嘅只係少少嘅鼓勵,而唔需要長篇大論嘅戰術分析。
Klopp doesn’t hesitate to assume control when a situation demands it - see Mamadou Sakho as a reference - but he dictates when necessary, not out of ego nor as an act.
當然,如果有需要,高普會毫不猶豫手起刀落介入問題,沙高就係一個例子。但佢只會喺客觀情況有必要嘅時候先會咁,而絕對唔係自我中心。
October 8, 2015
2015年10月8號
At Hope Street Hotel in Liverpool’s city centre, those who would now work closely with the club’s new manager were offered insight into the character behind the established caricature.
喺利物浦市中心嘅希望街設計酒店(Hope Street Hotel),一班而家同高普緊密合作嘅伙記當時就第一次見識到呢位領隊。
After Klopp signed a three-year deal worth an estimated £7m per season in the Sixth Boardroom, where Rafa Benitez had also ratified a contract with the club in 2004, he gathered the football staff for dinner.
高普同球會簽咗3年,每年值7百萬鎊嘅合約。佢簽約嘅地方同2004年賓尼迪斯同利物浦簽約嘅地方一樣。簽約之後,高普就約咗成班職員食晚飯。
Some expected a rousing speech from the German, others assumed it would be the introduction to Jurgen’s Law.
大家都預期高普會發表激勵嘅演說,或者先小人後君子講下自己帶波嘅規矩。
Instead, Klopp spoke very little, inviting everyone to tell him about themselves, their roles and how things worked at Liverpool - from training schedules to the matchday routine. He wanted to absorb as much information as possible.
但結果,高普無乜點講嘢。佢邀請所有人分別介紹自己,佢啲嘅崗位同職責,由訓練日程到比賽日嘅運作,佢都想知道多啲。
When it was time to talk through the media plan for his unveiling, Klopp was asked about his preferences when dealing with press. “No, no,” he responded, underlining that this was the communication team's field and they were the experts.
當講到應對媒體方面,高普話呢個係公關團隊嘅範疇同專業。
They had to tell him how it should be. They had to teach him.
佢會等佢哋指導佢點做。
One of the Stuttgart native’s gifts is trusting and turning to the people he works with, previously stating “I’m not a one-man show. I was never that in my life, and I never want to be that. The best lesson you can get in a day - to speak to smart people about things they know about much more about than you do.”
高普其中一樣天賦就係對人嘅信任。“我唔係單打獨鬥嘅人,我從來都唔係。每日最好嘅事就係同聰明嘅人傾計,聽佢哋講一啲佢哋比你叻好多嘅嘢。”
It is why when recruitment continuously pushed Salah to the forefront of the agenda for Liverpool’s incomings, Klopp co-signed their expertise.
咁就解釋咗點解當球探極力推薦沙拿嘅時候,高普毫不猶豫就投下信任一票。
He is across everything, but respects staff who take responsibility for their spheres of influence and are bold enough to settle on important decisions without informing him of each small detail.
高普好尊重所有同事喺佢哋自己嘅範疇工作,而且可以勇敢啲做決定,唔使事無大小都問准佢。
Klopp surrounds himself with strong personalities, and as such, perhaps that partly explains why his long-time assistant and friend, Zeljko Buvac, is expected to leave the club at the end of the season.
高普身邊有好多叻人一齊做嘢。或者正因為咁,佢嘅長期拍檔,Zeljko Buvac 預計將會係季尾離隊。
The Bosnian-Serb has been missing from the first-team fold since the end of April due to ‘personal reasons,’ and while no clarity has been offered on the situation, there is thought to be an element of discontent for Buvac over his standing in football.
呢位助教自從4月尾就因為私人理由缺席一隊嘅活動。外界盛傳其中一個原因係佢唔滿意自己喺對足球方面嘅意見唔夠被重視,而呢個傳聞亦一直無被正式澄清。
That his absence has not affected Liverpool behind the scenes is a nod to the strength of the individuals in the backroom team.
佢嘅缺席對利物浦影響似乎唔大正好證明球隊背後支援嘅團隊實力洪厚。
It is a strand that runs through the playing personnel as well, with proof in the non-upheaval following Coutinho’s winter departure.
呢點同球員喺古天奴離隊後嘅穩定表現有異曲同工之妙。
Just as the footballers have happily assumed more responsibility, so too have the coaching and support staff.
正如其他球員樂於承擔更多責任,職員亦都一樣。
“Incredibly healthy” has been a label used to describe the overall set-up at Melwood and when you consider the seamless adjustment of Van Dijk and Salah, it seems an accurate assessment.
有人形容Melwood 嘅分工安排係“非常健康”。當你睇到雲迪克同沙拿都可以咁快適應球隊,呢個講法似乎千真萬確。
Meanwhile, players that took a while to find their stride, like Robertson and Oxlade-Chamberlain, never felt walled off.
同時,一啲需要多啲時間適應嘅球員,例如羅拔臣同張伯倫,都無感到被遺忘。
Klopp empowered Henderson to cultivate the dressing room culture and the captain has promoted a togetherness many within the West Derby facility say they haven’t encountered before.
高普吩咐軒達臣負責更衣室裡面嘅氣氛同文化,而大家都認同呢位隊長為球隊帶嚟前所未有嘅團結。
The bond extends beyond the team to the non-football staff, who are part of the fabric of the place too. This is so much so, that even when players leave the fondness lingers.
呢股團結力量亦擴展至其他職員,甚至乎有啲球員離隊後仍然維持住對球隊嘅感情。
When Liverpool travelled to Rome for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final, Lucas Leiva sent back a surprise for popular canteen pairing Carol Farrell and Caroline Guest - signed Lazio shirts with a personal message for both.
當利物浦作客羅馬嘅時候,盧卡斯利華就準備咗拉素簽名波衫作為驚喜禮物送畀一對飯堂孖寶,Carol Farrel 同 Caroline Guest。
Meanwhile, it is in their domain - the dinning room - where Klopp and Edwards often strategise over breakfast or lunch beyond the more in-depth presentations on players. The duo, who both employ an open-door policy, enjoy an effortless relationship underpinned by mutual respect.
高普同Edwards經常都去到飯堂踩場,趁住食早餐或者午餐嘅時間,向球員做戰術指導。呢對飯堂孖寶都表示門常開,非常之歡迎大家。
And while the sporting director keeps a low profile as he prefers to do his job rather than talk about it, allowing him to make moves under the radar at times, Klopp appreciates that he is distinguished in his field and very decisive.
我哋嘅體育總監比較鍾意低調,不受注目,而高普就非常欣賞佢,喺佢嘅範疇十分之出色,亦好果斷。
The Reds boss is never shy to talk up the brilliance of the recruitment group, who are backed by a stellar research team run by Ian Graham.
高普亦毫不吝惜對由Ian Graham帶領嘅球探團隊嘅讚美。
And while Edwards is not the type to seek credit, Liverpool’s forward line - the most devastating in Europe this season - is largely his sketch.
雖然Edwards並唔鍾意領功,但其實利物浦而家嘅前場三叉戟,好大程度係佢嘅功勞。
Gordon assesses the dovetailing between the pair as a core canon for the club’s success. Klopp appreciates Edwards’ intelligence in assembling a team to effectively implement his aggressive blueprint, while the transfer chief is aware that signing a top player is purposeless without a top manager to extract every inch of their talent.
Gordon覺得兩人之間嘅合作係球會成功嘅重要武器。高普欣賞Edwards可以砌到隊波啱佢用,而呢位轉會話事人亦明白,幾好嘅球員都需要一個優秀嘅領隊先可以發揮所長。
The way the Reds have vaporised teams on the continent this season with their attacking venom has seen a spike in agents calling up to ascertain if there’d be any interest in their exciting clients.
利物浦今季令人聞風喪膽嘅表現令唔少經理人都蠢蠢欲動,想睇下利物浦對佢哋嘅球員有無興趣。
Liverpool are now the running train.
利物浦而家可以話係如日方中。
/'I could see myself here for the rest of my career'
我覺得自己淨低嘅職業生涯都會喺呢度。/
FSG were convinced, but how could they not have been? For nearly five years, he was the one: the ownership’s ideal manager, who remained just out of reach.
FSG都好有信心。等咗將近5年,佢就係管理層心儀嘅領隊人選。
In October 2015, however, he had finally become their one - Liverpool’s Jurgen Klopp.
2015年10月,高普終於成為利物浦領隊。
But it was only on a three-year deal. He had never lived outside of Germany, let alone managed in a different country, and while there were no doubts over his status as The Perfect Fit on the club’s end, Klopp was mindful of the adaptation both he and his family would have to undertake.
但當時佢只係簽咗一份3年嘅合約。佢從來未試過喺德國以外居住,更加唔好講帶一隊德國以外嘅球隊。雖然球會對高普充滿信心,但佢就難免顧慮佢同屋企人適應嘅問題。
The contract represented a realistic scenario rather than a romantic one. During a relaxed conversation in June 2016, however, he remarked that he could imagine being at Liverpool for the rest of his managerial career to Gordon.
合約終歸係現實嘅。之後喺2016年,佢提到自己可能可以將淨低嘅執教生涯都放係利物浦。
That put in motion an instant process to lock Klopp in after a quick discussion with principle owner John Henry and chairman Tom Werner.
球隊即刻事不宜遲,同老闆John Henry同主席Tom Werner簡單討論之後,就立即著手準備留住高普。
Within a matter of hours, fresh terms had been thrashed out with the manager’s agent, Marc Kosicke, and a new six-year deal was agreed.
話咁快,新合約就預備好,喺高普經理人Marc Kosicke嘅協助下,高普簽咗一份6年嘅合約。
Klopp had been on holiday in Ibiza before ferrying over to Formentera, the smallest of Spain’s Balearic islands in the Mediterranean Sea.
當時,高普正喺西班牙伊維薩島(Ibiza)放緊大假,佢之後再飛到地中海嘅福門特拉島(Formentera)繼續行程。
And on June 16, as he celebrated his 49th birthday, he also toasted signing on until 2022, with the news only being announced at the start of pre-season the following month.
喺6月16號,當佢慶祝緊49歲生日嘅同時,佢亦正式簽約擔任利物浦領隊直至2022年,而呢個好消息一直等到臨開季先向外公佈。
/"When you have an individual of Jurgen's quality in the building it makes perfect sense to secure that person for the long term. To not do so would be irresponsible."
“當你有一個好似高普咁有能力嘅人帶領球隊,無理由唔同佢簽份長約,否則係對球隊不負責任”/
Long before Henry, Werner and Gordon had first met with Klopp on October 1 2015 at the New York law offices of Shearman & Sterling, they had done extensive homework on his credentials.
遠喺Henry,Werner同Gordon第一次同高普喺2015年10月1號喺紐約一間律師樓見面之前,佢哋已經對高普做咗好多功課。
It was obvious that he was charming and a unifying figure, but they sharply realised there was endless substance beyond the soundbites and mad-scientist smile.
好明顯高普係一個有魅力而有凝聚力嘅人物,但佢哋好快就發現高普嘅功力唔只咁簡單。
Liverpool had craved a recognisable identity and here was a bonafide architect; a man worshipped in Mainz and Dortmund for his remarkable design work.
利物浦有令人景仰嘅歷史同身分,而高普正正就係一個優秀嘅建築師,佢喺緬因斯同多蒙特嘅出色表現已經係好好嘅證明。
They spoke for hours at the high-rise building on Lexington Avenue in Manhattan, chewing over everything from playing style to reawakening the fan base and reconvened the following day for further talks.
佢哋果日傾咗好耐。由球隊踢法到球迷覺醒,佢哋甚至好傾到要約定第二日繼續傾。
Klopp had made one particular point with regularity: Liverpool should be a force in Europe. And they could be. He would work to get them back amongst Europe’s elite, and moreover, as being the kind of team no-one wanted to face in the Champions League.
高普提出咗一點:利物浦應該,而且可以喺歐洲有一席位。佢會令球隊重返歐洲前列,而且會令利物浦成為喺歐聯無人想對碰嘅隊伍。
In a matter of months after arriving in Liverpool, he had guided the club to the Europa League final eliminating Manchester United, Dortmund and Villarreal en route before falling short against Sevilla at the showpiece in Basel.
嚟到利物浦未夠1年,高普就帶領球隊先後淘汰曼聯,多蒙特同維拉利爾,殺入歐霸盃決賽,可惜喺巴塞爾輸咗畀西維爾。
In his first full season at the helm, Klopp’s side secured a fourth-place finish and a crack at Champions League football for only the second time in eight seasons.
喺佢嘅第一季英超,佢就成功殺入前四,拎到來季歐聯參賽資格。呢個只係利物浦近8年嚟第2次。
And having navigated a tricky qualifier against Hoffenheim last August to enter the group phase of the tournament, Liverpool are in now in its final and will be at the continent’s top table again next season.
而今季,先喺外圍賽淘汰賀芬咸,再經過分組賽,利物浦而家已經嚟到歐聯決賽,而且已經穩奪下年嘅歐聯參賽資格。
Whatever happens against Real Madrid in Kiev, Liverpool’s advancement is unarguable.
無論喺基輔對皇家馬德里嘅決賽結果係點,利物浦嘅進步都係有目共睹。
Rewinding to Hong Kong, that they have made it here - one objective boxed off, one well surpassed - through the disruption, the injuries and the sale of Coutinho mid-season, is masterful.
回帶重溫由香港開始嘅球季,經歷風風雨雨,古天奴離隊同埋傷兵滿營,最終前四目標達到,歐聯之路令人驚喜。
Liverpool have the opportunity to be the ultimate conquerers of Europe this season having already dispatched Porto, Manchester City and Roma, smashing scoring records en route to the NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium.
利物浦先後闖過波圖,曼城同羅馬,向住奧林匹克國家綜合體育場進發,有機會成為歐洲嘅盟主。
Most significantly though, there is a wealth of confidence within the club that this will not be a rarity, that spellbinding nights under Anfield’s lights will become a divine right again.
而最重要嘅係,球會上下充滿信心,今季嘅成績唔係偶然,以後仍然陸續有嚟。
They believe Liverpool will not just be fine, Liverpool will be fucking flying.
佢哋相信,利物浦唔單止會掂,仲會係好撚掂。
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